Gryphon;2777371 said:
Cowboys wide receiver Roy Williams has been the object of quite a bit of media scrutiny lately. The media wants to know the answer to the question that has been a major topic on this blog since Williams was acquired mid-season: Can Roy Williams be a number one receiver?
To answer this question, we must first determine what exactly is to be expected of a number one wide receiver. Last season Terrell Owens was the Cowboys’ number one receiver, catching 69 passes for 1,052 yards and 10 touchdowns. I tracked the stats for the top wide receiver for each NFL team in 2008. The top wide receiver for each team averaged 74 receptions, 999 yards, and just over 5 touchdowns. I for one would be satisfied if Roy Williams could match these numbers…but in this offense I think he could destroy them.
That's if you take the strict definition of a number one receiver (ie, first on the depth chart). Of course, there's a problem with this. If the criteria for being a number one receiving is to be the first on the depth chart, then Roy Williams WILL be a number one receiver. However, number one receiver is a lot more of an etheral term. Ask 100 people to define a number 1 receiver and you will receive 100 different answers.
Either way, a lot of people I think can agree that some teams don't have a number 1 receiver (Oakland, Titans, Jags) whereas some teams may have more than one (AZ and New England come to mind). If you want my opinion, and since you are still reading this, I assume you do, I would like my #1 to be in the upper half of the league. I honestly would like a top-10 receiver but if you are worse than half of the other #1, then chances are you need to improve.
In 2008, the 16th best receiver was 1037 yards with 5 TDs. Top 10 status, which is the only place I'd actually be satisfied with is 1145 and 6 TDs. It's worse in 2007 with 1130 yards and 2 TDs.
So in the years he's been in the league, Roy Williams has come in at:
2004 - 36th
2005 - 49th
2006 - 3rd
2007 - 33rd
2008 - 93rd
Averaged out, that makes him 42-43rd in the league.
Gryphon;2777371 said:
Before we evaluate Roy Williams' career production, can we just throw 2008 out the window please? I mean, Roy had to deal with Dan Orlovsky and Duante Culpepper in a mediocre offense for six weeks. Then Roy was shoehorned into a Tony Romo-less Dallas offense, only to limp through Romo's return with a foot injury. 2008 cast aside, Roy Williams averaged 61 receptions, 913 yards, and 7 touchdowns per season in his career in Detroit.
You could make this request in good faith if you can claim that none of the other 32 starting receivers experienced any injury problems, any QB problems (nor did their QBs injury problems affect their production) or wasn't forced to change schemes or was in a scheme that wasn't effective. However, you can't make that assertion so you can't just throw away Roy's 2008 season.
Without 2008 cast aside, his production 56.3 receptions, 816.4 yards and 6 TDs.
Gryphon;2777371 said:
If Roy can post those numbers in Detroit with a much lesser supporting cast, he ought to be in good shape in Dallas with such a wide array of weapons around him. He may be staring down the barrel of double coverage quite a bit at first. But if Jason Witten continues to be Jason Witten, and guys like Miles Austin, Martellus Bennett and Felix Jones can consistently make defenses pay, Roy may see some more favorable coverages. Roy put up decent numbers in Detroit, and now finds himself in the best situation of his career in Dallas.
I think you are making a large assumption that Miles Austin, Martellus Bennett and Felix Jones can go from role players to large contributors.
Gryphon;2777371 said:
Roy can run, but doesn't have the straight-line speed of Owens, or even Austin. He is not overly sudden at the line of scrimmage either. Williams does however tower over his peers when it comes to his exceptional leaping ability and body control. Williams also possesses good strength, and is one of the best in the league at high-pointing the football. Cowboys fans should not be expecting to see a lot of the 60 and 70-yard touchdowns that we saw from Owens. What can be expected is a lot more catches in traffic, a lot of first downs, and a ton of jump balls in the corner of the end zone. With Roy Williams, the Cowboys have a touchdown anytime they want one inside the 10-yard line.
Besides the hyperbole, this isn't overly bad.