peplaw06;1958950 said:
Well we just disagree about McFadden's "bust factor" -- is that some kind of formula you made up?
But do you think the fact that it is a deep CB class gives you more or less nerve I guess to pull the trigger?
If you think we can get a good CB in the 2nd, then get a WR in free agency or by trade, filling the RB need with McFadden would look pretty good in my book. But personally, even if we can't get a WR by trade or FA, I think that the addition of McFadden would outweigh the addition of a rookie WR....
The "bust factor", for me, would be what are we going to get out of it and how much is it going to cost in relationship with what a McFadden would bring to the team. In essence, risk vs. reward. The risk? Two #1 draft picks and insanely high cap consideration on a guy that has thus far been a one trick pony (a speed guy with a frail lower body). The reward? Some one to share the backfield with a RB that's already an All-Pro. Involve Barber in a trade to get McFadden and the move is even more risky. The potential for that whole thing to blow up in our faces is huge. Thus, my bust factor.
I, personally, don't think that McFadden would put this team over the top and into the Super Bowl. Whereas, considering this last season, quality depth at WR and CB may have.
Darren McFadden would cost almost any other team with a legitimate interest ONE DRAFT PICK. For us it's going to cost two. I don't see a single player in this entire draft worth two #1s. Surely not Darren McFadden.
If I thought we could get a decent CB in the 2nd and a Roy Williams or Fitzgerald in a trade or FA then it might make more sense. I don't think that we can. The drop-off in CB quality between pick number 22 (or 28) and 61 is HUGE. The trade for a RW or LF is going to cost a pick or two themselves. So now what? We've given away atleast a 2nd for RW (I'll use that as an example) and 2 #1s for McFadden. We still have a huge hole at CB depth and about three dollars in cap room to address it (saracastically speaking,of course). Along those same lines. What if we don't get Hamlin or Flo re-signed? All of a sudden LT and FS get quite a bit higher on the need lost don't they? Is McFadden still worth 2 #1s (and possibly more)?
McFadden would be worth more than a rookie WR. That, I will concede. But is he worth more than a WR, CB, and a serviceable RB to compliment our already Pro Bowl RB (which is quite possible what he would cost)? I'd prefer not to swap the meat of our draft for Herchel Walker (which is exactly what this whole thing wreaks of, to me. On a smaller scale, of course).
The fact that this whole draft falls right into our needs tells me that this is the wrong draft at the wrong time to get cute and ignore the opportunity to really get some quality depth and some guys to build the future around for the sake of swinging for the fences on a guy that this team, quite frankly, doesn't even need.
Your argument is compelling. No doubt about it. But as it stands, I think we are better off getting the value that this draft presents and standing pat with our picks. FA may have a twist or two that will completely change the landscape and my point of view but, as it stands, he isn't worth the investment.
Of course, McFadden could jump onto the NFL scene and light things up like Peterson and I could be sitting here a year later thinking: "****! I'm such an idiot. How could I NOT see this guy was going to be great?!" LOL. It's a tough call no matter how you look at it.
