firehawk350;1998156 said:
No, we've got a solid cast of players with enough top-level talent to compete.
Except that you lack depth... this is a direct result of the reckless way Danny Boy went out and paid top dollars for free agents, in the process trading away draft picks wholesale... your starters are just fine, and if you guys stay lucky on the injury front, you have enough ability to go 10-6 next year... but if you sustain even a "normal" number of injuries, your ability compete will quickly deteriorate...
Sean Taylor was easily the best S in the league last year, but as we all know, that was cut short.
And as a result, he's completely irrelevant to this discussion... I mean, he won't be on the 2008 team, will he??
So why bring him up??
You guys had a great September/October, a solid November and horrible December/January. You had your share of luck, you've made your share of plays but you didn't face a lot of the issues the Skins faced this year. What if Ware was murdered,
Oh, gimme a break... I'm gettin' past sick of you dragging up Sean Taylor as some kind of excuse; when he died, the Skins RALLIED, they PLAYED BETTER... indeed, it's quite likely that if that tragedy hadn't happened, the Skins wouldn't have made the playoffs... so in a perverse way, his death worked to your benefit...
what if Colombo and Davis went out with an injury? How about Newman and Ellis?
Now you're making alibis for your lack of depth... but all of your alibis combined don't explain the difference between 13-3 and 9-7...
As far as top-notch talent, you've got some players, I'll admit that.
LOL... you only "give us that" because you know what a fool you'd look like if you tried to deny it... 15 players who have been in the Pro Bowl in the last two years...
However, I don't think you are as solid and up and coming as reading on here would make you believe.
Given that we have 15 Pro Bowlers on the roster, one the league's youngest rosters, we're coming off a 13-3 record, and have two first round picks to work with, if you don't define them as "up and coming", then your definition of "up and coming" is obviously whacked...
Campbell dealt with a lot, came out with an average QB rating and for a guy in his second year starting did pretty well.
No, he didn't... he did not have an "average QB rating", for openers... he ranked 20th in quarterback rating among QBs with enough attempts to qualify (IIRC, that would be 225 attempts on the season)... an average quarterback rating would be 16th in a 32 team league, 20th is obviously a bit below average...
That's your first distortion of fact, which has led you to an unrealistic opinion of Jason Campbell...
His yards per attempt average of 6.4 was even worse, ranking him 23rd in the league... his completion percentage of 60.0 ranked him 24th in the league... he was the only QB in the league with over 400 attempts to throw fewer than 18 TD passes, and he only had 12...
These are also facts that you obviously haven't taken into consideration, and they paint a picture of Jason as a BELOW average QB in the NFL last year...
Then there's the matter of him being 0-10 in games in which he's thrown the ball 30 times or more... every time the Skins have put the game on his arm, they've lost... every single time... now, in games where you're behind you're gonna throw a lot more often, and you're gonna lose some, even most, of those games... but ALL of them?? TEN of them in a row??
Last but not least, Jason Campbell is now 8-12 after 20 games as a starter... and his replacement the last 3 games last season took the same, beat up team and went 3-0 with them to make the playoffs...
You go on and on about the injuries Campbell had to struggle with on his offense, but Collins came in and took over that same beat up team, and the offense instantly became more productive... in the first 13 games, the Skins averaged 19.5 points and 308.0 yards per game... in the last 3 games after Campbell went to the bench, against 3 teams that combined to go 31-17 last year, none of them finishing under .500, the Skins averaged 27.0 points per game, and 343.3 yards per game...
So against stiffer competition, Todd Collins (who is a journeyman at best) clearly outplayed Jason, working with the same cast...
Stats could be shown that Romo was "figured out" given he threw something like 1 TD and 5 INTs in the last 4 games
3 TDs and 5 ints, actually... and Romo didn't play all of that final game, did he?? Seems you're not above stretching the truth... and that was mostly because of one game, where he threw 3 ints with no TDs... in the other 2 and a half games, he completed 70 of 102 passes 68.6 per cent) for 645 yards, 3 TDs and 2 ints... that works out to a quarterback rating of 87.3... that's just 9 points lower than his career QBR...
Which is 10 points higher than Campbell's rating was last season, LOL... if Tony had put up that rating for an entire season, he still would have ranked 12th in the league...
I can't believe you're even trying to compare Jason to Tony anyway... that's just comical...
Jason has passed for over 300 yards in 2 of 20 starts, Tony has passed for over 300 in 10 of 26 starts... Jason has passed for over 220 yards in 5 of 20 starts, Tony has passed for over 220 in 21 of 26 starts... Jason has passed for over 200 yards in 10 of 20 starts (meaning he was under 200 yards in 10 of 20 starts), Tony has passed for 200 or more in 22 of 26 starts (meaning he's only failed to pass for 200 yards 4 times in 26 starts, and one of them was the Skins game at the end of last season, where he didn't play an entire game)... here's some other significant comparisons, to further demonstrate how comically ridiculous it is for you to try to drag Tony into this debate:
Completion percentage-- Romo 64.8%, Campbell 57.7%...
Yards Per Game Passing-- Romo 273.6, Campbell 199.9...
Yards Per Attempt-- Romo 8.3, Campbell 6.4...
TDs-- Romo 55 (2.1 per game), Campbell 22 (1.1 per game)...
Ints-- Romo 32 (1.2 per game), Campbell 17 (.85 per game)...
It's only in ints per game that Campbell's numbers compare favorably to Romo's, and a big part of that is how conservative a game plan the Skins called for Jason, the way they "protected" him, while Tony was allowed to take shots downfield with more regularity...
Bottom line, Tony Romo is a superior quarterback to Jason Campbell, and it's not really close...
Likewise, a 77 QB rating in his 2nd year starting and 30+ passes 0-10 stat is hardly indicative of a guy who will never be good.
Never said he would never be good... he might, he might not... but to this point, he hasn't shown us anything to make us believe he WILL be good... for sure, he's not good at this point... so your deep-seated belief that he will become good is based on wishful thinking, rather than any substantial, logical reasoning...
Maybe he threw so many passes because we were behind and he was trying to catch up?
LOL... nice try, but 32.1 attempts per game isn't really throwing the ball all that often... it only ranks him 15th in the NFL, or about average...
What's surprising to me is that Romo only threw the ball .3 times more per game... he only ranked 12th in attempts per game... there were a half dozen QBs who averaged over 35 attempts per game...
He threw 29 passes against the Eagles in week 2 and won. If he would have spiked the ball, he'd have broken that stupid stat. In week 3, he threw 34 passes but it was the lack of drive in two consecutive plays by Betts at the 1 that lost that game. Had Betts extended, again, we wouldn't be talking about this stat.
Or if he hadn't completed under 50 per cent of his passes in that game, for a comically feeble 5.6 yards per attempt, perhaps the Skins would have won that game... or maybe if he hadn't lost that critical fumble in the 4th quarter of that game, leading to a short TD drive for the Giants, the Skins might have won... once again, with the game on the line, Campbell came up small...
But you want to blame Betts...
It's funny, he goes 16 of 34 for 190 yards, commits a critical turnover late, the Skins score just 14 points, and you don't seem to blame him for any of that...
He threw 34 passes against the Eagles again and posted a 114 QB rating, so I don't think he's to blame there either.
You don't think he's to blame there?? You HAVE to be kidding me...
In the Skins' last 3 drives, Campbell went 4 of 9, for 18 whole yards... he had a 15 yard completion, a 4 yarder, a 2 yarder and one for -3 yards... and he had yet another critical fumble in that 4th quarter, just before the 2 minute warning, leading to the Iggles' clinching TD on the very next play... before that fumble, the Iggles were clinging to a 1 point lead...
Campbell was the goat of that game, but you don't blame him for any of that??
More to the point, how many times last year did Jason commit the critical turnover in the 4th quarter?? It sure seemed to me that most of his 8 fumbles lost last season came in crunch time...
I'm not saying that Campbell is going to be awesome, but I think it's a bit early to say he sucks. Even below average is stretching the truth a bit. He was about average and given his experience, that's good.
In the right situation, I could see Campbell developing into an effective QB, but the Skins of 2008 are not the right situation... Zorn is likely to go to a west coast-style of offense, that's his background, and Campbell's skills are not suited to a precision short passing game... he's just not accurate enough... IMO, an ideal situation for him would be an offensive approach like the Raiders employ, he's best suited for going downfield... but he would need a much better offensive line than the Raiders could put in front of him right now... give him that good OL and a vertical passing game, though, and I could see him succeeding... he'd make a lot of mistakes at first, but if you could live through those growing pains, in time his recognition on the field would cut down on those mistakes...
Further complicating things in 08 will be the implementation of a new system... even before Campbell was drafted by the Skins, I was reading draft reports about how he struggled to learn a new offense... now the Skins are putting in a new offensive system, and we can reasonably expect him to require some time to master it... what's sweet for us Cowboys fans is the likelihood that Zorn is not a long-term answer to the Skins' problems, so they're likely to be implementing another new system in the not too distant future, further setting back Campbell's development...
Now, on the plus side, Zorn might help Jason develop, if they can establish a productive relationship... the guy was a pretty fair QB himself, once upon a time...
Basically, my big knocks on Jason's prospects long-term are his lack of accuracy on the short stuff, his problems with learning a new system, and most of all, it just looks to me like he doesn't see the field real well... when he's able to find an open receiver downfield, he can hit that receiver, but if something doesn't come open rather quickly, he's in trouble... he has limited ability to improvise, and has been known to try to force things that aren't there (though that's a problem that many young QBs struggle with, and the good ones overcome it in time)...
All of these opinions are based on what I've seen watching the guy play, not on my hopes as a Cowboys fan...