Conspiracy Theory: Jerry Has Already Asked Bill to Leave!

5Stars

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BulletBob;1305400 said:
I have already posted pieces of this theory in other threads, so I just wanted to lay it all out on the line in this one to give you guys an opportunity to break my you-know-whats mercilessly if it proves to be completely false.

Theory

Jerry defined a set of objectives for Bill to reach before the season started. The objectives included winning at least one playoff game. I have no proof of this other than the fact that Jerry is a smart businessman and would in all likelihood set such objectives.

Bill failed to achieve the objectives.


You have failed...I give you a C- grade....because you made a critical mistake in your theory....and once the mistake in the theory was made, the rest is does not apply.

Parcells was not the holder on that final field goal try of the season. Had that ball not slipped from Romo's hands, Parcells would have won a playoff game...maybe...

Sorry...

:)
 

cowboyed

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GimmeTheBall!;1306015 said:
I disagree.
I really think Jerra gave Parcells the Feb. 1 deadline to decide whether he is going or not for a reason and will stick to that deadline and give Parcells the option to stay.

If we can get a fund going here and collect, say, $5,000, we could hire a P.I. follow Parcells. It would be telling if Parcells is involved in game film, scanning the FA lists etc. If he is, he's staying.

If he is just traveling to his beloved New Jerrsey/New York and taking it easy, that is a sure sign he is going.

But if you are getting paid royally you are expected to do your job to the very end by doing the utmost to tie loose ends and to ensure a successful transition.

As much as I believe Parcells deserves to go voluntarily or involuntarily I am bugged about Zimmer being cut loose. That smells to me like a Parcells move and why would a lame duck coach have that much power unless Jones came to the same conclusion that Zimmer despite 13 years with the Boys needed to go regardless.
 

Ratmatt

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BulletBob;1305400 said:
I have already posted pieces of this theory in other threads, so I just wanted to lay it all out on the line in this one to give you guys an opportunity to break my you-know-whats mercilessly if it proves to be completely false.

Theory

Jerry defined a set of objectives for Bill to reach before the season started. The objectives included winning at least one playoff game. I have no proof of this other than the fact that Jerry is a smart businessman and would in all likelihood set such objectives.

Bill failed to achieve the objectives.

Jerry is unhappy with the results and has lost his patience (you can hear this in every interview he’s given over the past 3-4 weeks).

Jerry has asked Bill to leave.

Instead of publicly firing him, Jerry has decided to create the perception that it was Bill’s decision to leave (either for a GM position or retirement because he isn’t able to muster up enough energy for next year’s grind).

Now, why would Jerry want to go through all the trouble of creating a smoke screen instead of just publicly firing Bill? Because he is a smart businessman, and has learned from past experience. It is a win-win scenario from the perspective of both parties.

Benefits from Bill’s Perspective

  • Rather than end his career on a very sour note (being fired), he gets to ride off into the sunset, making a convincing argument that he left the place in better shape than when he came.

  • His ego remains in tact. It appears to the world that this was his decision. No one questions his motives, and everyone sees the decision as reasonable.

  • He has the option of exploring GM positions, if he doesn’t want to leave football entirely.

  • There is no stigma attached to him being fired if he appears as an analyst on TV, or in any other position.

Benefits from Jerry’s Perspective

  • He allows Bill to leave under better circumstances than being publicly fired. This prevents Bill from having negative things to say in the press about Jerry or the organization.

  • If it appears to be Bill’s decision to leave, Jerry is relieved of any consequences that result from the decision (it’s not Jerry’s fault that Bill wanted to leave).

  • Jerry has experienced the media/fan backlash that resulted in the public firing of two legendary coaches. Even if the backlash would not be as great in this case, as LeBrenton pointed out, Jerry doesn’t want it written on his tombstone that he fired three hall-of-fame coaches.

  • The replacement coach enters into a positive environment (instead of the increased negativity and pressure associated with a firing).
The Prediction

You’ll see a press conference within a week at which Parcells explains that he just doesn’t have it in him to go through the grind of another season. It is time to retire (or take that dream GM position).

Jerry will look sad and express his fondness for Parcells. He will stress how much better the Cowboys are for having Bill as the coach for the past 4 years, and how even though he did his best to persuade Bill to stay, he understands the decision.

The painting is complete, and no one is the wiser.

The new head coach is named shortly thereafter.

OK, Zoners – I’m on record … fire away! :shoot2:
I sure hope so!
 

Novacek84

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I can't say that the scenario put forth here couldn't happen because we've all seen it before in NY, NE and NY, but I doubt it will be this year because I agree that the market for a good replacement is very thin. I say one more year of Bill and then that's it. He's gone after 2007 either way because if he makes the Super Bowl he walks into the sunset or if he's 9-7 again and one and done in the playoffs or even less than that Jerry will have seen enough.
 

burmafrd

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With all the heat Saban took for lying to everyone, JJ will not be caught the same way. He KNOWS if it gets out that he was just blowing smoke he will get crucified in the media. So his statements about wanting BP back are probably exactly that. Its BPs call and no one elses.
By the way, watching BP this year I think he has put everything he has left in this job; BUT I do not think he HAS enough left to do a great job.
 

Chuck 54

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Parcells and T.O. both return to the Dallas Cowboys next season.

We finish the year 10-6.

We gain another Wild Card while Philly wins another division title...with McNabb.

We win a playoff game....woohooo

Season ends at 11-7, and Parcells retires...T.O. is released, and a coach no one was expecting is hired.

Next Spring: We lament the fact that our OL is still the worst in the NFC East, and we can't get consistant pressure on the QB.

I'm on record :grin:
 

BulletBob

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BulletBob;1305400 said:
I have already posted pieces of this theory in other threads, so I just wanted to lay it all out on the line in this one to give you guys an opportunity to break my you-know-whats mercilessly if it proves to be completely false.

Theory

Jerry defined a set of objectives for Bill to reach before the season started. The objectives included winning at least one playoff game. I have no proof of this other than the fact that Jerry is a smart businessman and would in all likelihood set such objectives.

Bill failed to achieve the objectives.

Jerry is unhappy with the results and has lost his patience (you can hear this in every interview he’s given over the past 3-4 weeks).

Jerry has asked Bill to leave.

Instead of publicly firing him, Jerry has decided to create the perception that it was Bill’s decision to leave (either for a GM position or retirement because he isn’t able to muster up enough energy for next year’s grind).

Now, why would Jerry want to go through all the trouble of creating a smoke screen instead of just publicly firing Bill? Because he is a smart businessman, and has learned from past experience. It is a win-win scenario from the perspective of both parties.

Benefits from Bill’s Perspective

  • Rather than end his career on a very sour note (being fired), he gets to ride off into the sunset, making a convincing argument that he left the place in better shape than when he came.

  • His ego remains in tact. It appears to the world that this was his decision. No one questions his motives, and everyone sees the decision as reasonable.

  • He has the option of exploring GM positions, if he doesn’t want to leave football entirely.

  • There is no stigma attached to him being fired if he appears as an analyst on TV, or in any other position.

Benefits from Jerry’s Perspective

  • He allows Bill to leave under better circumstances than being publicly fired. This prevents Bill from having negative things to say in the press about Jerry or the organization.

  • If it appears to be Bill’s decision to leave, Jerry is relieved of any consequences that result from the decision (it’s not Jerry’s fault that Bill wanted to leave).

  • Jerry has experienced the media/fan backlash that resulted in the public firing of two legendary coaches. Even if the backlash would not be as great in this case, as LeBrenton pointed out, Jerry doesn’t want it written on his tombstone that he fired three hall-of-fame coaches.

  • The replacement coach enters into a positive environment (instead of the increased negativity and pressure associated with a firing).
The Prediction

You’ll see a press conference within a week at which Parcells explains that he just doesn’t have it in him to go through the grind of another season. It is time to retire (or take that dream GM position).

Jerry will look sad and express his fondness for Parcells. He will stress how much better the Cowboys are for having Bill as the coach for the past 4 years, and how even though he did his best to persuade Bill to stay, he understands the decision.

The painting is complete, and no one is the wiser.

The new head coach is named shortly thereafter.

OK, Zoners – I’m on record … fire away! :shoot2:

*** Bump ***

My conspiracy theory is still alive.

I stick by my original theory. The past week was spent wrapping things up and negotiating a fair severance, with Tuna perhaps trying to line up another position.
 

5Stars

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BulletBob;1327255 said:
*** Bump ***

My conspiracy theory is still alive.

I stick by my original theory. The past week was spent wrapping things up and negotiating a fair severance, with Tuna perhaps trying to line up another position.


I have to change my grade for you from a C- to an A+


;)
 

Paniolo22

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BulletBob;1327255 said:
*** Bump ***

My conspiracy theory is still alive.

I stick by my original theory. The past week was spent wrapping things up and negotiating a fair severance, with Tuna perhaps trying to line up another position.

The only thing I don't buy is that Bill's ego remains in tact. If he were pushed out and he were quiet about it, he has the type of personality that would just EAT AWAY a his core. I do think that there was a contract dispute about his extension and that was the reason.
 

wileedog

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BulletBob;1327255 said:
*** Bump ***

My conspiracy theory is still alive.

I stick by my original theory. The past week was spent wrapping things up and negotiating a fair severance, with Tuna perhaps trying to line up another position.

Then why did he reach out to Capers about the DC spot last week?

Why the scheduled trip to the Senior Bowl?

I don't think anything was decided for sure until this weekend.
 

chinch

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even a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and again. ;)

you guessed right he would "retire" which was pretty much 50:50 guess along with coming back for one last season. yawn.
 

BulletBob

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chinch;1327387 said:
even a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and again. ;)

you guessed right he would "retire" which was pretty much 50:50 guess along with coming back for one last season. yawn.

Yeah, I guessed right that he would retire - no biggie.

Now, if it comes out at some point that Jerry asked him to leave ... then, I might be onto something.

All I'm sayin' is that the possibility of Jerry asking Bill to leave and making it appear that Bill is "retiring" is still very much alive.

I have a feeling that after the Philly game, Jerry made up his mind that unless the team went the distance, he was going to let Bill go. The Detroit game just added fuel to the fire.

The only remaining issue was how to do it. Making it appear that it was Bill's decision is a smart move for all parties involved.

I'm guessing that Jerry has had Bill's replacement lined up for quite some time now, and that this past week was all about negotiating a severance package, putting together a transition plan, and keeping silent about it all so that the illusion remains in place that it was all Bill's idea.

It's just a theory ... but one that remains somewhat plausible.
 

BulletBob

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By the way, let me add that IF somehow (I know it is a longshot) Jerry has convinced Jimmah to come out of retirement for one more run, it would add credence to the theory that he asked Bill to leave.
 

step

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Oh no, I have a feeling it's gonna be Wade. The problem I don't hear anyone talking about is the effect this has on the draft. Dig on Bill all you want, he helped this team draft way better since his arrival. Are we going back to wasted picks?
 

BulletBob

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Paniolo22;1327287 said:
The only thing I don't buy is that Bill's ego remains in tact. If he were pushed out and he were quiet about it, he has the type of personality that would just EAT AWAY a his core. I do think that there was a contract dispute about his extension and that was the reason.

OK - put yourself in Bill's shoes. Your a Hall of Fame Coach. You have had 4 years with the Dallas Cowboys with mediocre bottom-line results for which you were paid a boatload of money.

Your boss comes to you and says, "Listen, uh, Big Guy, uh, this isn't working out. I think it's, uh, time that you leave. I can either, uh, fire you publicly, or, uh, we can come to some arrangement where you announce that, uh, you're retiring ... what do you wanna, uh, do?"

What do you do?

You think, "Well, I'd rather this look like it's all my idea rather than it look like my boss fired me. However, if I go out in public and say I retired, then it could be proven in court that Jerry doesn't owe me the remaining $5 mil on my contract."

"Hey, Jerry, OK - I'll make it look like it's my idea ... but we need to talk about a severance package."

Jerry answers, "Uh, OK, Purcells, but you gotta go completely dark as far as the, uh, media goes. The lawyers tell me that, uh, if any of this gets out, it could be a breech of contract, and uh, media nightmare."

Out of the realm of possibility that this conversation took place?

;)
 

wileedog

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BulletBob;1327886 said:
By the way, let me add that IF somehow (I know it is a longshot) Jerry has convinced Jimmah to come out of retirement for one more run, it would add credence to the theory that he asked Bill to leave.

I really think its more plausible that Jerry has his eye on Cowher next year. He's thinking Bill comes back for one more shot and then he makes a run for him next year with an excellent situation for him.

Then Bill asks for the extension. Jerry can't give it to him because he wants The Chin next year. They wrangle for the week, and Bill proceeds with business as usual in case they can get it done. Jerry decides to hold firm this weekend, he wants Cowher next year as a top line coach for his stadium opening.

Bill knows as a 1 year coach he is somewhat hamstrung, especially in filling coordinator spots, and decides he doesn't want to just be a placeholder for Chin next year. He steps down. Wouldn't be shocked to see him next year as a GM in someone else's front office.

That's my theory :)
 
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