TwistedL0g1k
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Why was Paxton Lynch #25, and why was Brady a 6th rounder, and why did precious Antonio Ramiro Romo go undrafted?
After you do that can you enlighten me on why Tim Couch and Akili Smith were drafted #1 and #3?
And one last burning question: why was there such a run on bad first round QB in 2011 after Cam Newton?
I watched all those QB in college, all I seen was non NFL QBs, the highly thought of scouts saw 1st rounders
Had Dak been coming out of LSU, he would’ve been no less than a second round pick
QB is perhaps the most difficult position to draft. There are certainly examples of late round picks (or FA's) like Brady and Romo who had great careers, But- there are significantly higher numbers of first round picks who have been busts. Both facts you alluded to. There was a study that I quoted often on the other team board before it closed. It had the statistical probability of a QB making the pro-bowl, based on what round the QB was drafted in. I don't have the exact numbers anymore, but first rounders had a significantly higher probability than second rounders, and second rounders had a significantly greater chance than third rounders. After the third round, the probability dropped off like a cliff, and was extremely low. Point being, a first round pick may not be a guaranteed pro-bowler, but a late round pick is almost certainly not. Again, one can find exceptions, but that does not disprove the point.
As to your other question, the QB is such a critical position, teams will reach in the draft. We've all seen this too many times.
Now- back to the point in the post you quoted... I'll not deny Dak's strengths. He's proven to be a tough player, cool in clutch time. His record and playoff win are not easy accomplishments. I'm not a Dak hater. But- he has significant weaknesses in his game. This fact is the reason he was drafted where he was, and the reason virtually every professional analysts ranks him no better than an average QB in the league. If the draft were held again today, Goff, Wentz, and Dak would go in the exact same order. For the same reasons.

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