The Cowboys claim that the Andy Dalton signing has nothing to do with Dak Prescott, but it’s clear that Dalton gives the Cowboys some leverage in negotiations with Prescott.
Any team that signs Prescott to a franchise deal would need two things: (1) not to have a franchise QB already in place; and (2) at least $25M in 2020 cap space (depending on deal structure).
At this point in the offseason, very few teams even satisfy the first condition. Here is a rundown of the QB situation across the league:
- Bills: Josh Allen
- Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa
- Jets: Sam Darnold
- Patriots: Jarrett Stidham
- Ravens: Lamar Jackson
- Bengals: Joe Burrow
- Browns: Baker Mayfield
- Steelers: Ben Roethlisberger
- Texans: Deshaun Watson
- Colts: Philip Rivers
- Jaguars: Gardner Minshew
- Titans: Ryan Tannehill
- Broncos: Drew Lock
- Chiefs: Pat Mahomes
- Raiders: Derek Carr
- Chargers: Justin Herbert
- Giants: Daniel Jones
- Eagles: Carson Wentz
- Commanders: Dwayne Haskins
- Bears: Mitch Trubisky
- Lions: Matt Stafford
- Packers; Aaron Rodgers/Jordan Love
- Vikings: Kirk Cousins
- Falcons: Matt Ryan
- Panthers: Teddy Bridgewater
- Saints: Drew Brees
- Bucs: Tom Brady
- Cardinals: Kyler Murray
- Chargers: Jared Goff
- 49ers: Jimmy Garoppolo
- Seahawks: Russell Wilson
A very generous list of possible landing spots contains the Patriots, Jaguars, Raiders, and Bears. That’s it.
Moving on to the second condition narrows the list even more. Here’s the cap space for each possible suitor:
- Patriots: $2M
- Jaguars: $21M
- Raiders: $12M
- Bears: $10M
The Patriots would be hard-pressed to create the necessary space. The Jaguars could make it happen. The Raiders could get to $25M by cutting Carr, but they’d be tight against the cap. The Bears would get no cap relief by cutting Trubisky and would need to create at least $15M elsewhere, which is unlikely.
Therefore, it appears that the only competition for Prescott’s services would come from the Jaguars and the Raiders. The Jaguars could offer more money, but Las Vegas would obviously be the preferable destination. In this ongoing game of chicken, Jerry Jones has to like those odds. He should call Prescott’s bluff.