realtick;4434120 said:
Yeah, it does.
Numbers on a roulette wheel have no relation to one another.
Explain to me how David DeCastro has any relationship to some other OG taken in the first round five or six years ago?
Using your logic and knowing Andrew Luck plays the same position as JaMarcus Russell, should teams avoid taking QBs in the first round?
David DeCastro's value is independent of any success or failure that other OGs have had. And yes, I do think DeCastro is a unique talent at the OG position. I don't just think he's a good gaurd. That's the point.
But I'm not claiming he's going to be some kind of bust like in your Russell example. I've never said, "Chris Naeole was clearly not worth his draft slot, so therefore Decastro won't be, either." That would be in line with what you're claiming.
I'm assuming Decastro will be a very good player. Maybe not the next LA like some are claiming, but I'm assuming he'll be a Iupati kind of guard. But there's still a question of what that player is worth. We have years and years of evidence that, as a rule, NFL GM's don't take Gs in the top 15 picks, and I'm claiming there's likely a good reason for it. I guess others believe that they're smarter than the tens and hundreds of NFL GMs who are being paid millions of dollars to make crucial decisions for their teams, but personally, I doubt that.
Or, like I guess you're claiming, he's so special that he's worth more than all these other guys who have come before him. Frankly, I doubt he's that rare a player.
And I've never even said that I would hate the pick. Of course it depends on who else is available at the time, like it always does. Maybe the draft will turn out in a way that all the players we love are gone when we pick and he'll truly be the best player on the board, but we don't know that right now. That's one reason I have a problem with so many people screaming that this guy has to be the pick and if we don't take him we're idiots (or don't care about Romo's well-being, or whatever). That almost sounds like Jerry getting locked in on a player so far ahead of time. It just doesn't make sense.
Maybe we should think about why Jimmy Johnson never wanted to take OL in the first round. Was he that misguided, or could there have been some sound thinking behind that belief?