deadly, venomous, lethal, swarming...Dallas Defense

WoodysGirl

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smarta5150;1488913 said:
I am just excited for the fact we will blitz more and disguise it more.

Whether we get to the QB is up to our players, but we'll have to wait and see.
I don't have a problem being excited about the brand of D that will be put on the field next year. It's definitely going to be more exciting to watch. But if it's getting them toasted every week, cuz getting toasted is also what happens when you blitz more, then the excitement is pretty shallow.

superpunk;1488967 said:
Football outsiders.com takes much of that into consideration - SD ranked 16th overall, we ranked 18th.

Our defense was one of the league's best until the Saints made fools of our players. After that, it was absolutely the league's worst. So, if you're thinking is skewed by just the last 4 weeks of the season, your perception is going to be misguided, as evidenced by your response above. You've ignored an atrocious mid-season stretch of games in which teams like Cleveland were rolling up on the Chargers. The only difference is that they fixed theirproblems before seasons end, for the most part.

The reality is, that in any scenario other than sacks and pressure, they weren't any better than the Cowboys.
Exactly.

It's preception vs reality.
 

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All I know is we are going to have Hamlin or watkins helping Anthony Henry because he will get burnt if he is on an island in coverage when we blitz . Newman can handle his own business. San Diego's corners were terrible, but at least they were all fast. Henry not so much.
 

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WoodysGirl;1488544 said:
Last offseason, they were the beginnings of Doomsday III.

After preseason, they were all world.

After the Indy game, they'd arrived...Miami bound, yo!

After the NO game, they were exposed.

After the Detroit game, they were humiliated.

After the Seattle game, they all should've been cut or traded.

Hmmm...I'm still waiting on some proof that they can be deadly, venomous, lethal, and swarming...
nuff said:starspin
 

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WoodysGirl;1488544 said:
Last offseason, they were the beginnings of Doomsday III.

After preseason, they were all world.

After the Indy game, they'd arrived...Miami bound, yo!

After the NO game, they were exposed.

After the Detroit game, they were humiliated.

After the Seattle game, they all should've been cut or traded.

Hmmm...I'm still waiting on some proof that they can be deadly, venomous, lethal, and swarming...
But the thing is, prior to that NO game (particularly in that Indy game) they were performing as a Miami bound team. Hell, they obliterated the offense that conquered all in Miami. It's extremely frustrating trying to figure out what all factored into the collapse, but I do know that before the collapse, they were playing some amazing football.

So, my point is, the talent and the ability is there. Maybe it just needed to be re-tooled and re-grouped. Hamlin will surely be better than the 101st and 102nd rated FSs and with a healthy Ellis (and whoever else might have been injured) and a #1 pass-rusher I think it's well within reason to expect quite a bit from this group.
 

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superpunk;1488967 said:
Football outsiders.com takes much of that into consideration - SD ranked 16th overall, we ranked 18th.

Our defense was one of the league's best until the Saints made fools of our players. After that, it was absolutely the league's worst. So, if you're thinking is skewed by just the last 4 weeks of the season, your perception is going to be misguided, as evidenced by your response above. You've ignored an atrocious mid-season stretch of games in which teams like Cleveland were rolling up on the Chargers. The only difference is that they fixed theirproblems before seasons end, for the most part.

The reality is, that in any scenario other than sacks and pressure, they weren't any better than the Cowboys.
Those numbers are biased. The numbers reflect the Dallas defense that existed before the NO game. There's a stark difference between that defense and the defense we ended the season with. If the pre-NO defense could come back, everyone would be happy. So.......to the extent that those numbers reflect 3/4 of a season of a pretty darn good team and only 1/4 of a season of a downright turd of a team, they're not very useful in comparison.
 

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theogt;1489298 said:
Those numbers are biased. The numbers reflect the Dallas defense that existed before the NO game. There's a stark difference between that defense and the defense we ended the season with. If the pre-NO defense could come back, everyone would be happy. So.......to the extent that those numbers reflect 3/4 of a season of a pretty darn good team and only 1/4 of a season of a downright turd of a team, they're not very useful in comparison.

San Diego followed pretty much the same path. It's not like they were the same steady 18 ppg defense all 16 games. They weren't much better than us. They just sacked the QB more.
 

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theogt;1489298 said:
Those numbers are biased. The numbers reflect the Dallas defense that existed before the NO game. There's a stark difference between that defense and the defense we ended the season with. If the pre-NO defense could come back, everyone would be happy. So.......to the extent that those numbers reflect 3/4 of a season of a pretty darn good team and only 1/4 of a season of a downright turd of a team, they're not very useful in comparison.
But you can't parse the year into quarters when you're looking at overall numbers. Overall numbers suggest the two teams are alot more equal than given credit for. And had they finished the season on the same level as the previous 12, then they prolly would've had better numbers.

For all the moaning in the collapse during the final four games or so, I don't think they're as bad as they showed. I think it became more of a mental thing. They no longer trusted the coaches game plan after the NO debacle. So the coaches could've been put together the greatest game plan ever and because the players no longer bought what they were selling, you get sorry play.
 

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superpunk;1489301 said:
San Diego followed pretty much the same path. It's not like they were the same steady 18 ppg defense all 16 games. They weren't much better than us. They just sacked the QB more.
They had a sprinkling of bad games on the defense. I won't pretend to know the reason, but there was no clear demarcation between when they were good and when they were bad. I think, quite honestly, that before we broke down we were pretty equivalent defenses overall. They had a better pass-rush, but we had a much better secondary. We should improve on both accounts this season.

WoodysGirl;1489307 said:
But you can't parse the year into quarters when you're looking at overall numbers. Overall numbers suggest the two teams are alot more equal than given credit for. And had they finished the season on the same level as the previous 12, then they prolly would've had better numbers.
Sure you can. Like I said, if the defense that existed here in the first 3/4 of the season was still here, you'd hear very little complaint about our defense. It would have finished out the season as a top 10 (maybe top 5) defense. But there's a very stark difference. It wasn't as if we had 3 or 4 bad games throughout the season. It was 4-5 straight games of horrible play. So looking at the total numbers isn't very helpful, but if you were to look at the numbers in those 4-5 games, you'd see a very real difference.

For all the moaning in the collapse during the final four games or so, I don't think they're as bad as they showed. I think it became more of a mental thing. They no longer trusted the coaches game plan after the NO debacle. So the coaches could've been put together the greatest game plan ever and because the players no longer bought what they were selling, you get sorry play.
I agree 100%. It was in large part a psychological problem. That's part of the reason it's so frustrating to try and analyze the collapse. Like I said, the talent was there. Not only have we improved on that talent, we're going to become more agressive on defense.

You can disagree that a more agressive defense is an elixir or not, but the bottom line is that sacks per pass attempt correlate extremely high with opponent's passer rating and winning percentage. I think there's a point where you can be too agressive but I don't think we'll be on the verge of getting to that point with Wade. I do think however that we were too passive under Parcells. And that doesn't have anything to do with the 2-gap vs. 1-gap system. Just look at the blitz numbers. We were at the very bottom of the league.

Regardless, the talent was on this team last year and it showed during that first 3/4 of the season. Now, we've improved on that talent and we've wiped the pyschological tablet clean, so I don't see any reason than not to have pretty high expectations for this defense.
 

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Rack;1488963 said:
Perfect example of stats lying.

Sorry, but Dallas' D was nowhere near as good as SD's D last year. Yards per are meaningless unless we played the exact same schedule in the exact same conditions.

Actually the stats are not lying. Those numbers represent at least a 20 to 25% difference. Those numbers are big in San Diego's favor (Except rushing obviously).

Well maybe they lie a little bit because Dallas defense sucked, but a 20 to 25% spread is pretty meaningful.
 

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Scoring
Dallas gave up 21.9 ppg
Final Five Games: 30.6 ppg

San Diego gave up 18.9 ppg

Passing
Dallas - Avg 219.1 ypg
Final Five Games: 234.4 ypg

San Diego - 200.8 ypg

Rushing

Dallas - Avg 3.9 ypc 108.6 ypg
Final Five Games: 133.4 ypg

San Diego - Avg 4.2 ypc 100.8 ypg

Total Yards per game
Dallas 322.8
Final Five Games: 407.0 ypg

San Diego 301.6

--------------------

That makes things look a little different.
 

WoodysGirl

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theogt;1489317 said:
Sure you can. Like I said, if the defense that existed here in the first 3/4 of the season was still here, you'd hear very little complaint about our defense. It would have finished out the season as a top 10 (maybe top 5) defense. But there's a very stark difference. It wasn't as if we had 3 or 4 bad games throughout the season. It was 4-5 straight games of horrible play. So looking at the total numbers isn't very helpful, but if you were to look at the numbers in those 4-5 games, you'd see a very real difference.
You point to those 4-5 straight games and say they sucked, but I look at SD's schedule and there was a period of 4-5 games in the middle where their offense bailed them out. So ok, yeah it didn't happen at the end of the season, which is more critical. But it doesn't lessen the fact that they went through a stretch of allowing 20 or more points.

theogt said:
You can disagree that a more agressive defense is an elixir or not, but the bottom line is that sacks per pass attempt correlate extremely high with opponent's passer rating and winning percentage. I think there's a point where you can be too agressive but I don't think we'll be on the verge of getting to that point with Wade. I do think however that we were too passive under Parcells. And that doesn't have anything to do with the 2-gap vs. 1-gap system. Just look at the blitz numbers. We were at the very bottom of the league.
Again, the D will be more exciting to watch, but I doubt that the end results will be that much better than this years D. Sack numbers will be up, though. I'd be curious to see how many big plays will be given up as well. This team was succeeding at what Parcells was coaching. They might not have liked it and it might have been boring to watch and hard to learn, but it was working. At one point, they were a Top 5 D higher than SD's.
Regardless, the talent was on this team last year and it showed during that first 3/4 of the season. Now, we've improved on that talent and we've wiped the pyschological tablet clean, so I don't see any reason than not to have pretty high expectations for this defense.
Looking at the roster, there have been some pieces added, but it's not like they overhauled the whole thing. Much of the same players who started last year, will start the beginning of this year too. In my mind, it's not ALL about the scheme, it's about the players,too. The players are the ones who failed at executing when it mattered most. That's why I have a wait and see attitude about it all.

My expectations for this team haven't risen or lowered with the hiring of Wade. I just want to see it.

And since this is Wade's first year, we're watching the honeymoon.
 

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WoodysGirl;1489340 said:
You point to those 4-5 straight games and say they sucked, but I look at SD's schedule and there was a period of 4-5 games in the middle where their offense bailed them out. So ok, yeah it didn't happen at the end of the season, which is more critical. But it doesn't lessen the fact that they went through a stretch of allowing 20 or more points.
The offense bailed them out in the Cincinatti game, but that was about it. The points may look bad in the Denver game, but the defense only gave up 2 TDs. You also have to realize that in that 4 game stretch they were missing Merriman. We know what missing a pass-rusher can do to a team, right? :D Once he game back, the defense looks to have settled down.

Again, the D will be more exciting to watch, but I doubt that the end results will be that much better than this years D. Sack numbers will be up, though. I'd be curious to see how many big plays will be given up as well.
Well, I just vehemently disagree with you here. And by the way, more sacks do equal a better defense. The correlation is extremely high. I've ran the numbers. They correlate better than any other stat on defense.

This team was succeeding at what Parcells was coaching. They might not have liked it and it might have been boring to watch and hard to learn, but it was working. At one point, they were a Top 5 D higher than SD's.
They were succeeding early yes. And they were a Top 5 defense then. If by improving, you mean improving on that, then it'll certainly be hard to do, I agree. But most people think of those last 5 games when thinking of this defense. And I think you can contribute a good amount of that break-down to Parcells.

Looking at the roster, there have been some pieces added, but it's not like they overhauled the whole thing. Much of the same players who started last year, will start the beginning of this year too. In my mind, it's not ALL about the scheme, it's about the players,too. The players are the ones who failed at executing when it mattered most. That's why I have a wait and see attitude about it all.
I think we had 3 major problems: (1) free safety, (2) Bradie James, and (3) lack of pass-rush. With Ellis healthy and drafting Spencer, Carpenter moving inside to replace James, and the signing of Ken Hamlin, I think that's a major overhaul in terms of fixing the 3 biggest problems.

My expectations for this team haven't risen or lowered with the hiring of Wade. I just want to see it.

And since this is Wade's first year, we're watching the honeymoon.
What I'm cautious about is not Wade, but the players learning his defense. It's not easy learning a new scheme, and for all intents and purposes, it's a new scheme.
 

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theogt;1489335 said:
Scoring
Dallas gave up 21.9 ppg
Final Five Games: 30.6 ppg
Before NO game: 16.4 ppg

San Diego gave up 18.9 ppg

Passing
Dallas - Avg 219.1 ypg
Final Five Games: 234.4 ypg
Before NO game: 210.9 ypg
San Diego - 200.8 ypg

Rushing

Dallas - Avg 3.9 ypc 108.6 ypg
Final Five Games: 133.4 ypg
Before NO game: 90.3 ypg
San Diego - Avg 4.2 ypc 100.8 ypg

Total Yards per game
Dallas 322.8
Final Five Games: 407.0 ypg
Before NO game: (rush + pass) 301.3 ypg
San Diego 301.6


Other than passing, our ypg before the meltdown was better than San Diego's. However, over that time, we had 1.83 sacks per game, 1.2 INT's per game, .9 fumble recoveries per game. All that would add up to about 29 sacks in a season (not as much as we want), 19 INT's, and 15 FR's, giving us 34 takeaways per season.

34 takeaways in a season should've put us in the top 5. If that sacks per game were taken over 16 games, we would only have 29 sacks, which would've put us at around 26th in the league.


IMO, as long as we get that pre-meltdown defense, along with a better pass rush, I'll be happy. I'd bet dollars to donuts that this huge change will occur. However, with a better pass rush, we can easily be a top 5 defense. With our top 5 caliber offense, we should be a very good team come 2007.
 

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Dragon, if you're bored, you could do the numbers for San Diego excluding the games without Merriman. That'd more accurately reflect a full, healthy San Diego and a full, healthy Dallas.

As I said earlier, I think the numbers will be very close. While they had a better pass-rush, we had a much better secondary. Improving our pass-rush will only help our secondary.
 

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theogt;1489363 said:
Dragon, if you're bored, you could do the numbers for San Diego excluding the games without Merriman. That'd more accurately reflect a full, healthy San Diego and a full, healthy Dallas.

As I said earlier, I think the numbers will be very close. While they had a better pass-rush, we had a much better secondary. Improving our pass-rush will only help our secondary.

Sure thing, I'll start now..

Scoring
Dallas gave up 21.9 ppg
Before NO game: 16.4 ppg

San Diego gave up 18.9 ppg
With Merriman: 16.0 ppg

Passing
Dallas - Avg 219.1 ypg
Before NO game: 210.9 ypg

San Diego - 200.8 ypg
With Merriman: 209.3 ypg

Rushing

Dallas - Avg 3.9 ypc 108.6 ypg
Before NO game: 90.3 ypg

San Diego - Avg 4.2 ypc 100.8 ypg
With Merriman: 96.6 ypg

Total Yards per game
Dallas 322.8 ypg
Before NO game: (rush + pass) 301.3 ypg

San Diego 301.6 ypg
With Merriman: (rush + pass) 305.9 ypg

Very, very similar...
 

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theogt;1489335 said:
Scoring
Dallas gave up 21.9 ppg
Final Five Games: 30.6 ppg

San Diego gave up 18.9 ppg

Passing
Dallas - Avg 219.1 ypg
Final Five Games: 234.4 ypg

San Diego - 200.8 ypg

Rushing

Dallas - Avg 3.9 ypc 108.6 ypg
Final Five Games: 133.4 ypg

San Diego - Avg 4.2 ypc 100.8 ypg

Total Yards per game
Dallas 322.8
Final Five Games: 407.0 ypg

San Diego 301.6

--------------------

That makes things look a little different.
It took me a min, cuz I finishing up watching the Rockets lose... :banghead:

Anywho, since we're cherry-picking stats. And pointing which games matter more than others. How about this? I picked out the 5 game run which had everybody thinking Miami, yo!

10/22 - 11/19
Dallas Opponents - Indy ARI WAS Car NYG
SD Opponents - KC, STL, CLE, CIN, DEN

Scoring
Dallas gave up 19.2 ppg
San Diego gave up 29.4 ppg

Passing
Dallas - Avg 211 ypg
San Diego - 283.6 ypg

Rushing

Dallas - Avg 3.76 ypc 93 ypg
San Diego - Avg 4.2 ypc 121.2 ypg

Total Yards per game
Dallas 324.8
San Diego 430
-------------

You can present numbers in any fashion...and overall it'll still show the same. Both teams went thru stretches where their D caved.
 

theogt

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WoodysGirl;1489380 said:
It took me a min, cuz I finishing up watching the Rockets lose... :banghead:

Anywho, since we're cherry-picking stats. And pointing which games matter more than others. How about this? I picked out the 5 game run which had everybody thinking Miami, yo!

10/22 - 11/19
Dallas Opponents - Indy ARI WAS Car NYG
SD Opponents - KC, STL, CLE, CIN, DEN

Scoring
Dallas gave up 19.2 ppg
San Diego gave up 29.4 ppg

Passing
Dallas - Avg 211 ypg
San Diego - 283.6 ypg

Rushing

Dallas - Avg 3.76 ypc 93 ypg
San Diego - Avg 4.2 ypc 121.2 ypg

Total Yards per game
Dallas 324.8
San Diego 430
-------------

You can present numbers in any fashion...and overall it'll still show the same. Both teams went thru stretches where their D caved.
So you compared our best games to their worst games. What did you expect?

It's not about cherry-picking stats. It's about looking at the entire season. You can't look at our season's total stats, because we weren't the same team over the first 3/4 as the last 1/4.

As I said earlier, before our collapse we were just as good as San Diego (or better as we may see from Dragon). But we weren't that same defense at the end of the season for various reasons. More than likely those reasons are fixed.

So your stats here are actually proving my point. We should be excited because we presumably fixed the problems that led to our breakdown. If we've presumed correctly, we should go back to that 1st 3/4 team -- the team that you and everyone else was excited about.
 

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theogt;1489343 said:
The offense bailed them out in the Cincinatti game, but that was about it. The points may look bad in the Denver game, but the defense only gave up 2 TDs. You also have to realize that in that 4 game stretch they were missing Merriman. We know what missing a pass-rusher can do to a team, right? :D Once he game back, the defense looks to have settled down.
You can pick and choose what points are relevant, but the facts remain is their D went thru a bad stretch that would have had this board exploding and wanting to get rid of everybody even Wade. Missing Merriman, only gave up 2 TDs. Those are the kinda excuses you hear on this board when defending the D. Point remains is the end result.

Well, I just vehemently disagree with you here. And by the way, more sacks do equal a better defense. The correlation is extremely high. I've ran the numbers. They correlate better than any other stat on defense.
I'm not defending the lack of sacks or pressure. The point I'm making is that even with all the pressure that SD was supposed to have generated, the numbers for their D ended up on par with the 'boys.

They were succeeding early yes. And they were a Top 5 defense then. If by improving, you mean improving on that, then it'll certainly be hard to do, I agree. But most people think of those last 5 games when thinking of this defense. And I think you can contribute a good amount of that break-down to Parcells.
Early to me means the first 3 or 4 games. The D produced consistent numbers for 12 games. It wasn't an up and down thing throughout the season. It was consistent throughout until the NO game. Then they totally cratered. But you can't hold up those 4 games or so and say, "That's what this D really is"

I think we had 3 major problems: (1) free safety, (2) Bradie James, and (3) lack of pass-rush. With Ellis healthy and drafting Spencer, Carpenter moving inside to replace James, and the signing of Ken Hamlin, I think that's a major overhaul in terms of fixing the 3 biggest problems.
I see it shoring up vs overhauling. Where do you think James is going? Do you think he's not going to play. If so, that's not being realistic. James will prolly start on 1st and 2nd.

RE FS, it's not an overhaul when you're still pushing the same players from last year and adding a new piece to the mix. With expected improvement by Watkins and hopefully getting solid play out of Hamlin, then there will be better free safety play.

As for the pass rush, I have no doubt, it'll be better, but until I see them hit the field, I'm going to go with what SD was able to produce last year as a guide. Which provides a minimal difference in results.

What I'm cautious about is not Wade, but the players learning his defense. It's not easy learning a new scheme, and for all intents and purposes, it's a new scheme.
If you read Ireland, he said that Bill's D is actually harder to learn, so the transition to Wade's is easier on the guys. And it should make them play better having played in both systems.

At least that's the hope.
 

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theogt;1489384 said:
So you compared our best games to their worst games. What did you expect?
But isn't that what you did? You picked the 'boys worst games and compared them to San Diego's. What did you expect?

It's not about cherry-picking stats. It's about looking at the entire season. You can't look at our season's total stats, because we weren't the same team over the first 3/4 as the last 1/4.
The initial numbers I presented were teh WHOLE season. You just think that the last 1/4 represent what the D on the whole is all about. And that's just as inaccurate as me pulling out games from the middle of the season and saying see "These guys suck too!"
As I said earlier, before our collapse we were just as good as San Diego (or better as we may see from Dragon). But we weren't that same defense at the end of the season for various reasons. More than likely those reasons are fixed.
I've said over and over, that the 'boys were BETTER than San Diego for much of the season. Perception says SD is better cuz they produce alot of sexy stats. Reality says the 'boys were right with them as far as skill level.

As for the games, Merriman was out, I believe the 2nd set of numbers I provided cover that.

So your stats here are actually proving my point. We should be excited because we presumably fixed the problems that led to our breakdown. If we've presumed correctly, we should go back to that 1st 3/4 team -- the team that you and everyone else was excited about.
The numbers I provided don't prove anything other than the 'boys didn't have a bad defense overall. The collapsed at the wrong time, but they were not bad. The problem is that all people remember is the collapse and none of the good things they were able to do last year prior to the collapse.
 

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DragonCowboy;1489365 said:
Sure thing, I'll start now..

Scoring
Dallas gave up 21.9 ppg
Before NO game: 16.4 ppg

San Diego gave up 18.9 ppg
With Merriman: 16.0 ppg

Passing
Dallas - Avg 219.1 ypg
Before NO game: 210.9 ypg

San Diego - 200.8 ypg
With Merriman: 209.3 ypg

Rushing

Dallas - Avg 3.9 ypc 108.6 ypg
Before NO game: 90.3 ypg

San Diego - Avg 4.2 ypc 100.8 ypg
With Merriman: 96.6 ypg

Total Yards per game
Dallas 322.8 ypg
Before NO game: (rush + pass) 301.3 ypg

San Diego 301.6 ypg
With Merriman: (rush + pass) 305.9 ypg

Very, very similar...

Here they are...our pre-meltdown games vs. their pre- and post- roid suspension games.
 
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