gimmesix
Fat, drunk and stupid is no way to go through life
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I agree but the amount you left on the table is a bit excessive in my opinion. Ask yourself why Dak would take 37m in the 1st 2 years of his deal under your scenario when he will get 31m being tagged this year and at least 40m if the Cowboys had to tag him again next year?
Because he would be guaranteed $106 million over five years. If players are willing to play under the tag, they actually can make more money, but most players want the long-term assurance of money. If he plays on the fully guaranteed $31 million tag and something happens like a career-ending injury, then he loses $75 million in guaranteed money (under the supposedly proposed contract).
Again, you need to only pay attention to the guaranteed money, that's what it is all about. Again, Elliott didn't agree to a $90 million contract expecting to receive $90 million. He agreed to a $90 million contract knowing that he would receive $50 million. A lot of fans want to look at that $90 million and it's average of $15 million per year, but that's not what it is about. Carson Wentz isn't making $32 million per year and Dak won't be making $35 million per year ... unless he wins on getting a short-term deal that forces all the money up front.
Now, it's possible that Dak, like Russell Wilson, could receive a higher signing bonus (Wilson got $65 million). If so, those first few years would go up some, but still wouldn't meet the APY of the contract. Wilson's APY is $35 million. He only begins making that much in the fourth year ($37 million), at which time Seattle could cut him and save $11 million. If they did that, his real APY would have been 28.8, slightly higher than his total guaranteed. (Most likely this is the contract Dak's representatives are most trying to emulate. I think Dallas wants a lower bonus and higher payout of funny money at the end, keeping his contract around an average of $25 million or below per year those first four years.)