History IS a guide, just not a bottom line. There are SO MANY variables. People evolve and change, sometimes for better and sometimes worse. Economic conditions, ideaologies, technology—-circumstances altered by time and perception. There are so many variables that affect overall success, and Super Bowl win percentages are very low. The quickest, easiest assumption for failure is incompetence. Now, I’m not trying to excuse the team’s mistakes or shortcomings, just enjoying the normal hope and optimism that proliferates this time of year.