My goodness........talking about wide-margin, this projection vs Cowboy fans (LOL)
- Is our talent level much better than Cowboy fans wanna believe?
- Is it possible the lack of free agent signings ( participation) won't have as much neg impact as many believe?
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id...-projections-super-bowl-chances-playoff-draft
NFL Football Power Index: 2024 projections, Super Bowl chances
The
San Francisco 49ers might have lost
Super Bowl LVIII to the
Kansas City Chiefs, but they enter 2024 as the best team in football and favorites to win Super Bowl LIX, according to ESPN's
Football Power Index (FPI). The 49ers' edge in quality over the
Baltimore Ravens and Chiefs is narrow, but because San Francisco plays in the weaker NFC, its championship chances (16%) are notably higher than any other club's.
The Football Power Index is our ratings and projection model for NFL teams. In the preseason, the model's overall predictive ratings are based primarily on win totals from
ESPN BET in conjunction with each team's schedule -- along with factors such as the strength difference between a team's starting and backup quarterback and a revamped special teams rating based primarily on new predictive kicker ratings. We use these team ratings to simulate the season thousands of times, creating our projections.
During the season, ratings evolve based on how teams perform on offense, defense and special teams -- along with quarterback performance and changes. In addition to updated ratings, game predictions are also affected by home-field advantage and rest differentials.
Let's dive into the 2024 season.........
