I’m Going To Sailor Proof The Draft For Jerry

[DFWJC]

Ok. Lets take a look at the Eagles trade back from 6 to 12 which is a difference of 400 points. Philly picks up a 2022 first round pick for the trouble. Does that mean the first round pick is only worth 400 points? Of course not, but such is recorded in that future values chart. If philly only required 400 points, why wouldn't Miami just offer one of their second round picks in this draft and keep next years first rounder? Could it be b/c Philly isn't accepting that deal b/c they know that first round pick is going to be more valuable? Of course it is. Philly wanted the more valuable 1st round pick in next years draft. Miami undervalued the pick b/c they are flush with draft picks and they wanted to move up badly. Ask any team in the league if they would rather have a second round pick now or a first rounder next year. its a no brainer.

It may seem like no brainer to take the future 1st for you, me or whoever, but FOR SURE it's not for GMs
It's a great question........You just literally proved it almost to a tee..

Absolutely yes, that future 1st rounder was valued in a range of maybe 420-480 range...or a current mid/upper 2nd rounder (pk42-48 range)
Just as I was saying and that trade once again proves it.
This is how it is.

And I have not yet looked at this year's trades....but boom. That trade nails what I was saying to a tee.

Giving that future first a value of the 46th pick this year (ballpark)
makes the trade

• Philly gives up 1627
• Miami gives up 1689

that is about 96% accurate



Miami's 2021 2nds were almost certainly part of the conversation. Either take the 2021 2nd or take the 2022 1st.....

But they had pick 50...which was probably too low for Philly and pick 36--which probably too high for Miami. The future 1st (if valued in the 42-48 range) splits the difference somewhat.

 

[America's Cowboy]

When I was in the navy we had a term Sailor Proof. We tried to make a task for a sailor as easy as possible so they could succeed.

With picks 10,45,75 and 99
1. Take BPA in a position of need... Don’t get stupid..

2. No injury or Drug History

3. Do not trade up or trade down. Trading up means less potential starting players selected. Your picking at the top of each round so don’t dilute the talent pool by trading down for more picks

4. Come out the top 4 pick with 4 of these positions CB, LB,DT, FS and OG

5. Get players more interested in football than their brand.

6. the rest of the draft take BPA don’t matter what position. Trade up or down don’t matter.

 

[Cebrin]

When I was in the navy we had a term Sailor Proof. We tried to make a task for a sailor as easy as possible so they could succeed.

With picks 10,45,75 and 99
1. Take BPA in a position of need... Don’t get stupid..

2. No injury or Drug History

3. Do not trade up or trade down. Trading up means less potential starting players selected. Your picking at the top of each round so don’t dilute the talent pool by trading down for more picks

4. Come out the top 4 pick with 4 of these positions CB, LB,DT, FS and OG

5. Get players more interested in football than their brand.

6. the rest of the draft take BPA don’t matter what position. Trade up or down don’t matter.

Sound good, but FS is an interesting one for the draft. Moehrig is the safest pick, but he'll go Rd 1. Sisco injury concerns, Adarius short, and light, and then who? Not a lot of pure FS talent in the draft. I'd take Sisco in 4 or 5 Rd, or trade down for Moehrig in Rd 1. Safety is a thin part of the draft.