I Think There Is An 85%+ Chance Demarco Stays

[cowboys2233]

Some of you seem to think its a near certainty that Murray is leaving. I think the exact opposite. Murray helps give this team the same type of identity that the 90s teams had, an identity that Garrett has worked very hard to duplicate. The added value that Murray brings to this team as an identity-creator cannot be overstated. Smartly, Garrett recognizes this and is a VERY strong supporter of Murray. I also believe that Murray desperately wants to stay. He has wisely said "no comment" when asked how much he wants to stay with the Cowboys, but do not mistake that "no comment" for apathy. Murray is a smart man, he fully recognizes the added value a player can gain from playing for the most recognized team in American sports. From Jimmy to Aikman to Irvin to Woodson to Johnston, the top jobs in today's sports media are littered with Cowboys players from the 90s era and that is no coincidence. I think he also realizes that Romo is one of the only QBs in the league that can truly get a team to the SB, they are far more rare than many want to admit. And of course, he can look to history and see what happens to players like Alvin Harper when they take more money to play elsewhere. They become irrelevant. And that is the worst possible career move for any player.

Given the intense desire for important people on both sides of the aisle to get this done, I think it is far more likely that Murray stay, to the point where I would say its a near surety. We'll see how good I am at reading the tea leaves.

 

[CF74]

3-4 years at 5.5 Mill per, Do It!!

 

[Broges74]

The guy would take 3 games off due to any number of injuries until this season. He WILL return to being that guy after he gets his paycheck. I want DM back but not at the cost of what he would get on the open market. DM, as he should, will be taking the highest bidder this off season. This is the last major payday DeMarco will have in his career. He has to take the best deal for him and his family's well being.

 

[Alexander]

Given the intense desire for important people on both sides of the aisle to get this done

“But if you just look at it from the standpoint of dollars and cents, it probably doesn’t look reasonable.”

That does not sound like intense desire to me.

That sounds like a man who is uncertain and is about ready to tell a story about getting his credit cards cut up at Love Field again.

 

[cowboys2233]

“But if you just look at it from the standpoint of dollars and cents, it probably doesn’t look reasonable.”

That does not sound like intense desire to me.

That sounds like a man who is uncertain and is about ready to tell a story about getting his credit cards cut up at Love Field again.

Really? I see a statement that leaves a ton of room for interpretation. If you "just" look at it from the standpoint of dollars and cents..." Just as easy to read as "if you look beyond dollars and cents, it starts to look much more reasonable." Meaning, Murray is an incredibly valuable asset to this team and can be worth a high dollar contract in a market that doesn't give high dollar contracts to running backs. And Jerry's use of the word "probably" when talking about how reasonable it would be is hardly any kind of definitive statement on the matter.

 

[jazzcat22]

The 90's team didn't have the identity of fumbling...Jimmy may not have cut him, being no FA back then, but he damn sure wouldn't be back either, if he had no contract.
This is not a knock on Garrett or by no means a comparison either.

 

[irishline]

Really? I see a statement that leaves a ton of room for interpretation. If you "just" look at it from the standpoint of dollars and cents..." Just as easy to read as "if you look beyond dollars and cents, it starts to look much more reasonable." Meaning, Murray is an incredibly valuable asset to this team and can be worth a high dollar contract in a market that doesn't give high dollar contracts to running backs. And Jerry's use of the word "probably" when talking about how reasonable it would be is hardly any kind of definitive statement on the matter.

While I understand what you said, the simple fact is that at the end of the day it all comes down to one thing. And that is in fact dollars and cents. Once you start reading into something beyond what you can see, you literally start putting your own bias to it, wanting to see what you want to see.

I hope he comes back at a reasonable rate. But I agree with Alexander on this one, I did not get the sense that giving, as you put it, a high dollar contract in a market that doesn't give them isn't what he is referring to. That and anything beyond what he said really is just guesses and wishes.

 

[Nirvana]

I would say there is 15% chance he stays. More likely, he will take the better deal with another team. Our ceiling has been set and his price tag is above that.

 

[CowboyChris]

The biggest thing Murray has going for him is Garrett, who you can tell through his press conferences really wants him back. I think Murray will be back for about 5 million a year, and thats a bargain for us.

 

[dragon_mikal]

The 90's team didn't have the identity of fumbling...Jimmy may not have cut him, being no FA back then, but he damn sure wouldn't be back either, if he had no contract.
This is not a knock on Garrett or by no means a comparison either.

Emmitt Smith had more fumbles on less carries in 1995.

The fumble against the Packers was huge but considering his work load it wasn't all that bad.

No...if Murray goes it will have nothing to do with his fumbles.

 

[Staubacher]

Murray is not going to duplicate his 1,845 yard season next year.

Look at his production in the second half of this season - fell off quite a lot.

Tired out and teams figured him out more.

He is still a good complete back but we need more speed back there.

He left too many yards and balls on the field.

 

[MichaelWinicki]

I would say there is 15% chance he stays. More likely, he will take the better deal with another team. Our ceiling has been set and his price tag is above that.

I agree with that take.

A much greater chance that Murray is NOT playing for the Cowboys come next season.

 

[Ken]

If we really offered 4 years at $16 million...that is not our ceiling. That is our first offer to try and recallbrate the negotiations. We would go higher than that but you can see Dallas has a strategy to reset the negotiatioins and appear as if they are resigned and in a difficult spot to sign both. While they are, they can also sign both but want to do it at the best price possible.

 

[MichaelWinicki]

Murray is not going to duplicate his 1,845 yard season next year.

Look at his production in the second half of this season - fell off quite a lot.

Tired out and teams figured him out more.

He is still a good complete back but we need more speed back there.

He left too many yards and balls on the field.

This is the point that some seem to forget... Murray did wear down.

 

[nablives]

Based on the way Jerry has historically rewarded good players that have had an obvious significant impact to the team, I think there's a pretty good chance he'll be around for at least 1 more year too. No way I see the AP situation realistically happening.

 

[nablives]

This is the point that some seem to forget... Murray did wear down.

How do we know that? Stats?

How do we account for no Doug Free? How about when the Eagles sold out to stop the run, indicating they weren't worried about Romo at all? Does Murray not get any slack for running into a wall? What about running into what might have been the best D-line in the NFL in the Detroit Lions?

Not trying to be argumentative, but I see this opinion being spread like it's fact, and the argument seems to be, "well look at the stats." Problem is, stats don't tell the whole story.

 

[black label]

say no to fumbles

 

[Broges74]

Based on the way Jerry has historically rewarded good players that have had an obvious significant impact to the team, I think there's a pretty good chance he'll be around for at least 1 more year too. No way I see the AP situation realistically happening.

Can you elaborate on why you think AP is not realistic?

 

[Vegas_Cowboy]

I would say there is 15% chance he stays. More likely, he will take the better deal with another team. Our ceiling has been set and his price tag is above that.

This ^^^^

Don't forget that this will more than likely be his last shot at a big payday. Murray knows that a career for a RB can end in the blink of an eye because they're so easily replaced these days.

He will take the biggest offer he gets and I don't blame him. Doubt that offer comes from the Cowboys with a Dez contract on the horizon.

 

[craig71]

Seems to me the identity of this team starts with the offensive line not Demarco Murray. While Murray is a good back I do not see him as a difference maker in the mold of a Jim Brown or an Adrian Peterson. Considering the carries that he had this past year, the likelihood of him having a blockbuster 2015 campaign is slim to none. Guess what? Slim is going to be out of town. Something else to ponder, what Garrett says in public about Murray and what he says behind closed doors may be two different birds. I think Garrett realizes the history of backs coming off of a 400 carry season and may be thinking of hitching his wagon to a different mule.

Craig