InmanRoshi;1432905 said:
God only makes so many 6'6" 320 lbs men NT who can move. If you pass on one this year, you're taking a huge chance that one will be available next year when you absolutely must get one.
Actually, we see players like Branch every couple-three years, big ol' boys who dominated at the college level simply because they were so big... but when those boys also come with question marks regarding their ability to keep their weight under control, about their lack of stamina, those players also bust quite often...
In the last 5 drafts, we've seen 320 pound Marcus Tubbs go in the first round, then start 14 of 29 games in his NFL career... 325 pound Jimmy Kennedy has started 31 of 53 games... 315 pound Ryan Sims has started 35 of 59 games... none of these three has performed anywhere close to what their draft status suggests they should have played... and all three came tagged with "underachiever", even "lazy" labels attached...
When it comes to Tubbs, NFL.com said this in their draft analysis:
Needs to control his weight (additional pounds give him a soft mid-section, preventing him from staying low in his pads) … Needs to be pushed by hard coaching before he responds
SI said:
Looks poorly conditioned, lethargic and does not play with a sense of urgency.
When it comes to Jimmy Kennedy, NFL.com said:
Must stay on top of him in regards to conditioning (was at over 400 pounds at one point earlier in his career), as he tends to raise himself up when he runs out of gas …
ESPN had this to say:
Consistency and focus are concerns. Wears down if his weight is not in control...
And SI said:
Overweight in the past which has led to Kennedy wearing down and not playing with proper fundamentals.
When it comes to Sims, for some reason I couldn't find the scouting reports on him coming out of college online, but I do have this quote from the Scout message boards:
In the past, the knock on Sims was that he was lazy. He had trouble keeping his weight under control.
That squares with what I remember of the scouting reports on him back then...
So, we have three big, first round defensive tackles with big reps, but also with reps for not having the discipline to keep their weight under control... all three have scouting reports quite similar to the ones Branch is receiving now... and all three have been varying degrees of busts, given their lofty draft status...
I have seen this over and over again over the years, to the point where whenever I read that a player has a "lazy" label, or has a rep for letting his weight balloon, I either move that player way down my draft board, or remove him from it altogether...
I get a strong whiff of bust off of Branch, for those reasons...