jrumann59
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Elite talent fails all the time. This term generational talent gets thrown around. What the hell is Generational talent, the are "expected" to be better than all those that came before them. Guess what a lot of the time the guys that are considered the measuring stick before them were not first round talents. Lets use Pitts, is expected to be better than Gonzalez, Witten, Gronk, Gates, Graham, Kelce, Kittles?Its not really a gamble. Generational talents do not outright bust. It does not happen. For them a floor is they were only in a few Pro Bowls. There is a reason 1st round pick tend to do better than 7th round picks and that is because it is not purely gambling.
Also, "if the starter goes down maybe our 10th pick can get playing time otherwise he is warming the bench for 2 years" is not a good recipe for success. That still makes it a bad pick. Trevor Lawrence could get hit by a car the day after getting drafted and never play in the NFL and it would not have been wrong to make that pick. You plan around what your team is, not what they could be. The very thinking that the lower-tier starters on the team could completely become Pro Bowl level players, despite that they have not in the years they have been in the league so far, is exactly how you end up having such poor drafts and free agency periods because "we like our guys".
here is an interesting article on some "Generational" Talents in teh NFL right by Bucky Brooks, written last year.
NFL's generational talents under 25: Kyler Murray belongs in club