Is Bledsoe a Hall Of Famer?

ABQCOWBOY

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alpha said:
In an earlier post in this thread (on the same page as your quote above in fact) I said, "Bledsoe’s thrown 181 INTs in 6,049 career attempts (before '05). That’s just one interception every 33.4 pass attempts. That’s pretty darn good by NFL standards. In fact, he’s better than Peyton Manning (1 interception every 32.3 pass attempts) and Dan Marino (1 every 33.2 attempts) in this category."

Now some casual fans like to include fumbles in this category, but again, it's all relative. Since this is a team sport you have to consider the supporting cast. Bledsoe has led the league in sacks the last three years. Aikman and Manning aren't/weren't sacked less because they're any more mobile, no more than Vick is among the league leaders in sacks or Dante leading the league in fumbles due to a lack of mobility. QB's fumbling the ball has more to do with protection than having an iron grip or track star speed and agility.

You have no credible evidence to support your position on fumbles or sacks. I have watched Bledsoe for some time now. While I will acknowledge the fact that sacks are often given up by poor OL play etc, good QBs learn to avoid them. Manning and Marino don't get sacked because they get rid of the ball quickly. Bledsoe doesn't do that. As far as fumbles are concerned, lots of QBs get sacked. They all don't fumble the ball away at the rate Bledsoe has.

Bledsoe, as QB, is responsable for keeping the offense in managable situations. This includes avoiding sacks and not fumbling. This is part of being an efficiant QB. Because you find on statistic that suggest Bledsoe's slightly more efficiant in one area doesn't mean he's more efficiant then either of these two QBs.

Your conclusions here, are at best, challenged. In the end, your statement of efficiancy does not stand up to scrutiny.
 

ABQCOWBOY

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Nors said:
Steve Young had all the same if's at age 33 too.


Story is not over. When it is I'll tell you.

Cant we just look at it and try to figure it out on our own Nors?
 

alpha

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ABQCOWBOY wrote:
"I was surprised to see Alpha suggest that this player was efficiant to the point of Hall consideration. I just didn't see that."

It's not a suggestion. It's a matter of fact. Bledsoe is more efficient than Marino and Manning in re: to their TD:INT ratio, and far more efficient than Moon and Elway when it comes to the propensity to fumble the ball (Moon and Elway are the #1 and #3 all-time record holders for career fumbles, respectively).
 

alpha

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ABQCOWBOY said:
You have no credible evidence to support your position on fumbles or sacks. I have watched Bledsoe for some time now. While I will acknowledge the fact that sacks are often given up by poor OL play etc, good QBs learn to avoid them. Manning and Marino don't get sacked because they get rid of the ball quickly. Bledsoe doesn't do that. As far as fumbles are concerned, lots of QBs get sacked. They all don't fumble the ball away at the rate Bledsoe has.

Your conclusions here, are at best, challenged. In the end, your statement of efficiancy does not stand up to scrutiny.

Riiight. Read my last post. Bledsoe's fumblitis can't hold a candle to the all-time record holders for career fumbles; Warren Moon (#1) and John Elway (#3). Care to explain to me how "good QBs learn to avoid [sacks]" again?
 

ABQCOWBOY

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alpha said:
ABQCOWBOY wrote:
"I was surprised to see Alpha suggest that this player was efficiant to the point of Hall consideration. I just didn't see that."

It's not a suggestion. It's a matter of fact. Bledsoe is more efficient than Marino and Manning in re: to their TD:INT ratio, and far more efficient than Moon and Elway when it comes to the propensity to fumble the ball (Moon and Elway are the #1 and #3 all-time record holders for career fumbles, respectively).

At this time. Bledsoe is not done. Moon is not in the HOF, though he should be IMO. Earlier, you mentioned the team Bledsoe played for. I would suggest to you that Elway played on horrible teams for most of his career. Denver was not all that good, outside of Elway. He also won championships. Elway fumbled 137 times in his career. A 16 year career I might add. Bledsoe may catch him, in this respect, this year. You compare Elway to Bledsoe statistically but you fail to recognize differentiators that seperate the two. Elway was a player who could do it all. He rushed for over 3000 yards in his career. He lead teams to victory in critical moments. He performed at a level that is considered the standard by many. Bledsoe has not accomplished these things. You may say that he's worthy but the fact that you are trying to convince many of this fact only strengthens the point. Elway was destined to be in the HOF long before he reached a parallel point in his career. Bledsoe is far from this point with only a few year left.

This may be a matter of fact to you but the reality is that HOF QBs did things other then just
 

ABQCOWBOY

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alpha said:
Riiight. Read my last post. Bledsoe's fumblitis can't hold a candle to the all-time record holders for career fumbles; Warren Moon (#1) and John Elway (#3). Care to explain to me how "good QBs learn to avoid [sacks]" again?


Sure. If it's football 101 you need, I can help you there. Bledsoe's sacks create poor field position for his teams. His fumbles do the same.

Warren Moon is irrelivant to this discussion. While I believe he should be in the Hall for his total body of work in Pro Football, he is not. I would add that if you combined those numbers for Warren Moon, Bledsoe would pale in comparison. As it is, he is not a HOF QB so he is not pertinant to this discussion.

I think it's interesting that Elway is used as comparison. One of the Knocks on Elway was that he hung in the pocket too long as well. The difference with Elway was that he did many other things as well. He was a threat to hurt the defense with not only his arm but his mobility. Elway finished his career with 333 TDs. I am not certain of how many lost fumbles he had but we know that he had 226 INTs.

I think it's unlikely that Bledsoe finishes his career with numbers that would equal Elways. I think it's almost certain that he surpases Elways INTs, Fumbles and sack numbers.

Put all this together and I can't see how you can come to the conclusion that Bledsoe would be deserving of the Hall without a championship or two to his credit.
 

Nors

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ABQCOWBOY said:
Sure. If it's football 101 you need, I can help you there. Bledsoe's sacks create poor field position for his teams. His fumbles do the same.

Warren Moon is irrelivant to this discussion. While I believe he should be in the Hall for his total body of work in Pro Football, he is not. I would add that if you combined those numbers for Warren Moon, Bledsoe would pale in comparison. As it is, he is not a HOF QB so he is not pertinant to this discussion.

I think it's interesting that Elway is used as comparison. One of the Knocks on Elway was that he hung in the pocket too long as well. The difference with Elway was that he did many other things as well. He was a threat to hurt the defense with not only his arm but his mobility. Elway finished his career with 333 TDs. I am not certain of how many lost fumbles he had but we know that he had 226 INTs.

I think it's unlikely that Bledsoe finishes his career with numbers that would equal Elways. I think it's almost certain that he surpases Elways INTs, Fumbles and sack numbers.

Put all this together and I can't see how you can come to the conclusion that Bledsoe would be deserving of the Hall without a championship or two to his credit.
"I have relied on him throughout many years of my career for incredible insight into the nature of sports representation," Steinberg said. "Warren helped me pioneer how an aware athlete can parlay relationships forged over a football career into second-business career success."

That football career might also put him in the Pro Football Hall of Fame someday. He will be eligible in 2006.

"For what they thought of me as a quarterback and what they thought of me coming out of college, there is no question that would be the icing on the cake," Moon said. "I believe I would probably be the first black quarterback in the Hall of Fame. That would make a statement."
 

ABQCOWBOY

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Nors said:
"I have relied on him throughout many years of my career for incredible insight into the nature of sports representation," Steinberg said. "Warren helped me pioneer how an aware athlete can parlay relationships forged over a football career into second-business career success."

That football career might also put him in the Pro Football Hall of Fame someday. He will be eligible in 2006.

"For what they thought of me as a quarterback and what they thought of me coming out of college, there is no question that would be the icing on the cake," Moon said. "I believe I would probably be the first black quarterback in the Hall of Fame. That would make a statement."


For what it's worth Nors, I agree. I just think that he is one of the best QBs to ever play. It's really unfortunate that many never had an opportunity to watch him early in his career. I don't know how that much raw talent and character can not be valued in the NFL. It was a different time I guess. Unfortunate is all I can say about that.

I hope that eventually, Moon gets in. In my book, he is ceratinly deserving of it.
 

joseephuss

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alpha said:
Really? Would you put Brady in today? How 'bout Peyton? Dante, McNabb, Vick...? If you answered 'no' to any of the above, are you prepared to say, "if they can't get in now they never will."

Is it just me, or is it amusing to anyone else how many fans are ready to write the career obituary for a 33-year-old QB that was just awarded the NFC Offensive Player of the Week (amazing what a decent supporting cast can do for a QB)?

If a career journeyman QB (up to that point in his career anyway) like Rich Gannon can become league MVP at 40-years-old, anyone ready to write off Bledsoe's chances for the HOF today hasn't been paying attention.

Brady is in in my book. Manning and Culpepper are on their way. They are both still young with many years to go. Neither has started to decline and based on last year are at the heights of their career. McNabb? Maybe. Vick. No, and I am a big Vick fan, but who knows, things can change since he is so young.

With Bledsoe, his best years are behind him. He started his decline already. He may or may not resurrect his career. I am hoping he does because he is the Cowboys QB, but it is a huge assumption that he is going to put up pro-bowl type numbers or lead the team to a Superbowl. He may still produce decent numbers, but to get to the Hall of Fame, he will need some very good years. I think there is enough evidence to say he will no do it. Here's hoping he proves me wrong.

I know Steve Young was in a similar position, but it wasn't the same position. Young was not showing signs of decline at age 33. He was producing MVP years even while losing to Dallas in the playoffs. I hope Bledsoe can do the same.
 

Nors

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joseephuss said:
Brady is in in my book. Manning and Culpepper are on their way. They are both still young with many years to go. Neither has started to decline and based on last year are at the heights of their career. McNabb? Maybe. Vick. No, and I am a big Vick fan, but who knows, things can change since he is so young.

With Bledsoe, his best years are behind him. He started his decline already. He may or may not resurrect his career. I am hoping he does because he is the Cowboys QB, but it is a huge assumption that he is going to put up pro-bowl type numbers or lead the team to a Superbowl. He may still produce decent numbers, but to get to the Hall of Fame, he will need some very good years. I think there is enough evidence to say he will no do it. Here's hoping he proves me wrong.

I know Steve Young was in a similar position, but it wasn't the same position. Young was not showing signs of decline at age 33. He was producing MVP years even while losing to Dallas in the playoffs. I hope Bledsoe can do the same.

Steve Young was playing with far better teams than Bledsoe past 5 years.
The scope is on Bledsoe to prove his doubters wrong.

I predicted Bledsoe will win over the Dallas fanbase this season.

Did you see that play where he dove headfirst? His teamates saw it. Bledsoe getting the ball out and giving his WR's time - noted by WR's.

Team keyed on JJ and Witten, and we still burnt them for 28. Scary the weapons we have.
 

alpha

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ABQCOWBOY said:
Sure. If it's football 101 you need, I can help you there. Bledsoe's sacks create poor field position for his teams. His fumbles do the same.

Warren Moon is irrelivant to this discussion. While I believe he should be in the Hall for his total body of work in Pro Football, he is not. I would add that if you combined those numbers for Warren Moon, Bledsoe would pale in comparison. As it is, he is not a HOF QB so he is not pertinant to this discussion.

I think it's interesting that Elway is used as comparison. One of the Knocks on Elway was that he hung in the pocket too long as well. The difference with Elway was that he did many other things as well. He was a threat to hurt the defense with not only his arm but his mobility. Elway finished his career with 333 TDs. I am not certain of how many lost fumbles he had but we know that he had 226 INTs.

I think it's unlikely that Bledsoe finishes his career with numbers that would equal Elways. I think it's almost certain that he surpases Elways INTs, Fumbles and sack numbers.

Put all this together and I can't see how you can come to the conclusion that Bledsoe would be deserving of the Hall without a championship or two to his credit.


Where to begin?

This is fun (really). Anyone that thinks that's football 101 needs to be sent back to the remedial class. ;)

Once again we see how easily quotes can be misinterpreted when taken out of contex. And once again you seem to have missed the point.

Yeah, Drew's sacks/fumbles create poor field position, but his tendency to hold the ball is probably also responsible for Drew becoming the youngest player to reach 40,000 yards passing as well. Of course his style comes with a risk (I'm not denying that), but you're ignoring the reward. There's a fine line between patience in the pocket and holding the ball too long.

You use Elway's time on poor Denver teams to make a favorable comparison to Drew's experience, only to follow it up by criticizing Drew for not having won a Lombardi or two like Elway without acknowledging the dramatically improved supporting cast that surrounded him during said title run.

With the miserable Bills OL and below avg WRs as a constant, you can see what a difference merely adding a productive RB has on a QB's efficiency by looking at Drew's #s with Henry (5 TDs to 7 INTs) compared to McGahee (15:9) in the backfield just last year. The relative supporting casts are extremely significant when making these kinds of comparisons in a team sport.

We can compare and discuss other aspects of these QB's games if you'd like, but allow me to attempt to stay on topic here. If you trace our discussion back to it's genesis you'll see I wasn't foolish enough to attempt to compare Drew's complete career #s to one of the top-10 QBs of all time (Elway). Our disagreement specifically addressed efficiency (or lack thereof).

Drew's career #s aren't just volume stats. He got there with great efficiency. Even though you acknowledged earlier, "Sacks can not be accuratly factored in because it's always a question of where the responsability lies" you insist on including them in this comparison. M'kay, here goes.

First, it should be noted that most knowledgeable observers define a QB's efficiency by the # of pass attempts required for each TD (and/or their TD to INT ratio). By that standard Bledsoe is among the elite all-time. Better than Manning. Better than Marino.

While I disagree it's appropriate to include sacks/fumbles for comparing a QB's efficiency (for the reasons you've already pointed out yourself), I will entertain this notion that Drew's fumbles knock him from being one of the most efficient QBs ever to being described as inefficient.

You've given Elway credit for 333 TDs, while NFL.com, STATs.com and pro-football-reference.com all list his total at 300. I'll be using their number for this comparison.

Elway fumbled the ball every 3.8 sacks. Drew every 3.9. Advantage: Bledsoe. Even when we combine INTs and fumbles and define this number as 'potential turnovers,' Elway was responsible (for sake of this comparison) for one potential turnover every 20.0 pass attempts. Bledsoe has only coughed the ball once every 21.2 attempts. Even by this standard Bledsoe was the more efficient QB (not better overall mind you).
 

ABQCOWBOY

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Nors said:
Steve Young was playing with far better teams than Bledsoe past 5 years.
The scope is on Bledsoe to prove his doubters wrong.

I predicted Bledsoe will win over the Dallas fanbase this season.

Did you see that play where he dove headfirst? His teamates saw it. Bledsoe getting the ball out and giving his WR's time - noted by WR's.

Team keyed on JJ and Witten, and we still burnt them for 28. Scary the weapons we have.

I saw it, and for me, that's exactly the problem. I just am not convinced that he will be healthy enough to sustain.

My issue is not, and has never been Bledsoe's desire or even ability (if in the right situation). It has always been the amount of physical abuse he gets and his, seeming, inability to avoid it.

I don't know Nors. I tell you I just worry about how long he will last.
 

Nors

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where can I get a look at career QB fumble stats?

I'd be curious what that looks like.
 

Outlaw Heroes

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junk said:

Looking at this list reminded me that Dave Krieg put up some pretty "impressive" career stats:

- 9th all-time in touchdown passes (well ahead of Bledsoe)
- 11th all-time in passing yards (right behind our hero)
- 10th all-time in completions
- 10th all-time in attempts
- an 81.5 career passing rating

Anyone arguing in favor of Bledsoe care to make the case for Krieg as well? Thought not. Sometimes the career numbers don't tell the story.
 

NorTex

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Bledsoe is still playing at a very high level, in case you hadn't noticed.
 

Outlaw Heroes

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calcbfan1 said:
Bledsoe is still playing at a very high level, in case you hadn't noticed.

Depends how far back you go in evaluating him. Last game he looked great. The last two years, he looked awful. Let's hope we see more of the guy that showed up in SD and less of the guy that got chased out of Buffalo. For now, I'm still skeptical. But I'm keeping my fingers crossed.
 

alpha

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Outlaw Heroes said:
Looking at this list reminded me that Dave Krieg put up some pretty "impressive" career stats:

- 9th all-time in touchdown passes (well ahead of Bledsoe)
- 11th all-time in passing yards (right behind our hero)
- 10th all-time in completions
- 10th all-time in attempts
- an 81.5 career passing rating

Anyone arguing in favor of Bledsoe care to make the case for Krieg as well? Thought not. Sometimes the career numbers don't tell the story.

For the record, anyone who bothers to go back and read the entire thread will note I said:

"Is Bledsoe a lock for the HOF? No."

And later added:

"If HOF eligibility were based on stats Lynn Swann, Joe Nammath and many others wouldn't be there now. Stats lie. ... You can learn a lot looking at stats, but they're hardly an absolute. That's only one piece of the pie. Intangibles don't show up on a stat sheet. Think big picture. Gotta look past the numbers."

The only thing I've taken issue with is mickgreen58's original comment that Bledsoe's HOF potential wasn't even worthy of discussion, and ABQCOWBOYS' insistance that Bledsoe is not an efficient passer ("You have no credible evidence to support your position on fumbles or sacks"). Compared to Elway, Marino, Manning etc. Drew compares favorably in this particular aspect of their game. I never said Bledsoe compares favorably overall to the best to ever play the position.
 

Outlaw Heroes

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alpha said:
For the record, anyone who bothers to go back and read the entire thread will note I said:

"Is Bledsoe a lock for the HOF? No."

And later added:

"If HOF eligibility were based on stats Lynn Swann, Joe Nammath and many others wouldn't be there now. Stats lie. ... You can learn a lot looking at stats, but they're hardly an absolute. That's only one piece of the pie. Intangibles don't show up on a stat sheet. Think big picture. Gotta look past the numbers."

The only thing I've taken issue with is mickgreen58's original comment that Bledsoe's HOF potential wasn't even worthy of discussion, and ABQCOWBOYS' insistance that Bledsoe is not an efficient passer ("You have no credible evidence to support your position on fumbles or sacks"). Compared to Elway, Marino, Manning etc. Drew compares favorably in this particular aspect of their game. I never said Bledsoe compares favorably overall to the best to ever play the position.

Certainly wasn't trying to single you out or anything, so no need to get defensive. About the only thing I'd quibble with, in terms of what you've said, is that, far from being a lock (which you've conceded he isn't), I think he's a real long-shot, unless something dramatic happens in the next 3-4 years.
 

Nors

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Some interesting Fumble stats

Games Fumbles Lost % Fumbles/Game

Bledsoe 173 105 48 .58
Favre 210 122 53 .58
Brady 65 43 19 .66 wonder boy drops the rock
Warner 64 49 21 .76 roy broke his hand
Vick 44 38 20 .86 running man
Mcchunky 86 48 32 .56

Interesting!
 
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