I don't believe I was being disingenuous now. The fact of the matter is Chuck Noll's teams struggled at first, then became great. He's hardly the only Head Coach to encounter these things. I don't see that as a comparison either. Just an example. No different than if I say Tom Landry's teams struggled for 6 seasons. I'm not comparing Garrett to Landry or Noll. I am merely relaying a fact. People who want Garrett gone at 24-24 over the last 3 years would certainly want him gone for 12-30 instead. Do you disagree with that? If so, why?
I disagree, trends matter.
Jimmy Johnson was 19-29 in his first 3 years - though it went 1-15, 7-9, 11-5
Rich Kotite went 29-19 in his first 3 years - 10-6, 11-5, 8-8 (he was fired after yr 4's record of 7-9)
Tom Coughlin went 24-24 in his first 3 years, with an expansion team, going 4-12,9-7,11-5
so the 24-24 > 11-18 or whatever obviously wasn't your point
Also, I dont think you can compare a those prior eras with even a free agency era (even "PLan B"). Today it is much easier to build a team. I would be curious if you think otherwise. Therefore 3-4 years should be enough time to cycle through old vets, have all of the "new draftees" coming up on final years (i.e. the book should be out on the selection/performance) and you should have a decent activity in FA. I can't juxtapose the current NFL situation to the 1960s or 1970s. I wish autotune would go away and people would actually try to write songs like the 1970s - 90s, but it isn't happening
No one knew Noll was going to build one of the greatest teams ever from the scraps of a Steelers team that was a laughing stock for decades. No one knew Landry was going to have 20 straight winning seasons after 1960 to 1965. People were calling for his head too. They were wrong. Taking the facts of their struggles as a comparison of Garrett to a legend rather than an example of why we should put away the crystal balls would be disingenuous.
People want results, and the today's NFL is about BIG money and winning begets more $. Jason Garrett inherited a better situation than Landry or Noll or Coughlin.
People say they like the culture change, management focus, etc. of the team right now. What doesn't work for me is the belief that they can't ever climb above 8-8. That is disingenuous to me, because that is speaking from frustration rather than trying to see the reasons why something isn't an instant miracle cure. Or it's a lack of respect for the game. I can't quite decide which. The fact of the matter is any team can be good like the Texans of 2012 and fall apart like the Texans of 2013. Conversely a team can come from virtually nowhere like the Kansas City Chiefs of 2013 did. What I want is the stability of the Patriots or Steelers and long term excellence. I do not believe you get that by over reacting to win loss records while trying to build something from nothing.
I know I haven't given my recent view on "change", but - if it works out - you can only possibly call not resigning Ware as the only culture change. I think that had more to do with the cap, age, and the thought of restructuring to add years only to not see the returns after being burnt by Ratliff. But Im open to that 1 action as perhaps a change.
As to the highlighted part, There have been way too many philosophy changes since 2011 for me to believe (after changing both coordinators again this year) that stability of style, type is concretely changed.
The only teams that can build long run consistency are the ones with great QBs and they find their replacements quickly. Otherwise, the franchises age and the windows are finite. Pittsburg is going through it now.
I obviously need to see teams play. Right now, and I come at this from a regular Vegas Wager, I dont realistically see going 5-1 in the division again. Those are tough games and 3-3 / 4-2 is about the best you can hope for.
The NFC West is stacked I can't see better than 1-3. NoLA and Chicago seem to have the Cowboys number, So That's 7-8 losses that I would not be shocked by. I dont Like the INdy matchup.. DO they have a chance to win those - absolutely, but I can't convince myself that this offseason the Cowboys have improved at a greater rate than most other teams.
I honestly believe that Jason Garrett building pride in the team is what we need to return to the levels of respect and glory that we all miss. No one has to agree with me. That's their right. So I don't feel I am being disingenuous at all. I feel that I am being pretty level headed about it. I don't go for sensationalism like saying Campo would be amazing by now if we had just stuck with him. Anyone who can't see the difference in Campo and Garrett is either blind or a fool. Not that I am saying anyone is doing that. Hopefully that explains a little why I merely pointed out that Noll didn't exactly set the NFL on fire. He built a program with steady focus and his team backed him. I want that.
Again, all of this "change" and "pride" may be true but its not measurable and accountable, maybe it makes for fun debate, but I think there is just as much evidence that thinks havent changed (or have changed for the sake of change) than there is for tangible proof of change.
In closing, trends matter so a point in time record of a HC is a stat, is a fact, but is not a story. BUt the story inevitably gets written when you look at trends.