Let's do it one by one..
QB - Dak in year 2 with McCarthy stands to be better than Dak in year 1. - better
RB - Zeke a buncha dudes vs Pollard and a buncha dudes.. - push
LT - HOF Tyron vs rook - worse
LG - Tyler with another year of strength and experience - better
C - Rook vs Biadasz? You say a rookie won't be better from day 1. Did being a rookie stop Fredrick from being better than whoever he replaced.
RG - Zack a year older but won't miss training camp.. - push
RT - Steele a year further away from the ACL - better
TE - Ferg, Hendershot, Schoon and Stephens - better.
WR1 - CD is it possible for him to be better than he was last year? Probably not.. but I don't see a dropoff either.. push .
WR2 - Cooks and Dak were not on the same page a lot of last year.. but got better as the year wore on .. until things went south in the playoffs. Still call it a push.
WR3 - Turpin, Tolbert, Brooks. I would expect all of them to be better this year than last
DE - Micah will continue to be a beast and Lawrence is still playing at a high level. Williams and Gholson will spell them - push. This will take steps forward though if the light bulb goes on for Williams.
3-tech - Osa is still improving but hit a wall down the stretch, maybe maxed out? The youngsters (Fehoko and the rooks) will be key here - but so as not to be a homer let's say we take a step back - worse
1 tech - Mazi and the rook vs Hankins and Mazi/Gallimore. worse until proven otherwise.
ILB - Hendricks and Clark vs Clark and Bell? Is this a trick question? - better
OLB - Overshown and an actual linebacker vs Kearse and another safety.. - better
SS - Wilson and Bell vs Wilson and Thomas - push
FS - Hooker and Izzy vs Hooker and Izzy again- push
CB - Diggs back, Bland and a healthy J-Lew ... better (as long as Diggs suffers no ACL hangover.)
Kickers - push
So by my count I have 9 position groups getting better, 4 getting worse and 7 staying about the same. Obviously any of these could go in either direction but if you look at it objectively, this team has a higher chance of being BETTER in 2024 than it does being worse. And that's before we see what the rookies can add.
Obviously until they take the field none of this amounts to a hill o beans.. but I reject the auto-leap to "we're gonna suck" just because we didn't sign some overpriced big name.
Like your approach but disagree with some assessments. Using your template:
QB (Worse) - Dak sucked for the past 8 years, likely to suck again this year. Is another year with less mobility and no trust from his team - worse (because we didn't upgrade/replace/draft/try)
RB (Worse) - Zeke a buncha dudes vs Pollard and a buncha dudes.. - worse (I love Zeke, love the dude but he is well past his prime. Pollard at least had some home run ability and a burst of speed - Even if Zeke clears the LOS, he can't take it to the house anymore. A 'long' run for Zeke is only going to get you 8-9 yards at best)
LT (Worse) - HOF Tyron vs rook - worse
LG (Better) - Tyler with another year of strength and experience - better
C (Worse) - Rook vs Biadasz? - Worse (maybe better by end of season, but for all the whining, Biadasz was serviceable, rooks on the OL generally take at least 2 seasons to develop the feel for the game)
RG (Push) - Zack a year older but won't miss training camp.. - push
RT (Push) - Steele a year further away from the ACL - push (Steele isn't going to improve much from where he was at the end of last season)
TE (Push) - Ferg, Hendershot, Schoon and Stephens - push (we didn't add or subtract from this group, why assume progression?)
WR1 (Push) - CD is it possible for him to be better than he was last year? Probably not.. but I don't see a dropoff either.. push
WR2/3 (Worse) - Cooks/ Gallop - lost Gallop and Cooks a year older - worse
WR4+ (Push) - Turpin, Tolbert, Brooks. - push (you are expecting improvement why?? They still have the same crap QB throwing to the them with the same stupid playbook and playcaller???)
DE (Push) - Micah/Lawrence/Others - push.
3-tech (Worse) - Osa/ ???? - no help over the overseason for an area of need and if you aren't improving then you are going backwards in this league - worse
1 tech (Worse) - Lost experience and our best - worse
ILB (Better) - Hendricks and Clark vs Clark and Bell? - better
OLB (Better) - Overshown and an actual linebacker vs Kearse and another safety.. - better
SS (Push) - Wilson and Bell vs Wilson and Thomas - push
FS (Push) - Hooker and Izzy vs Hooker and Izzy again- push
CB (Better) - Diggs back, Bland and a healthy J-Lew ... better
So I've got 7 worse, 4 better, 8 push. For me that means we are, categorically, worse. Remembering that 'push' can mean good as we were a very good team last year. We have been a very good team for a while.. just missing the SAME things every year that we don't address.
Positions we needed to address and didn't: QB, RB, DL (3 and 1) - we addressed the OLine through the draft but they will be a season or two away at best. I've got no problem with using this year as a dip and then load up on skill players next year after we get our trenches set.. but the glaring mistake is if we then pay Dak and anchor ourselves to a stupid contract.