It's true, a lot of things can change but I don't think that it's HS Basketball. It's James' business partners and where they reside. They are all in Cali and so, his business, outside of Basketball is also in Cali. Nike has been pushing this for a while as well. They want James in L.A. so I think it's more business related. I see James in Cali, even after his Basketball career.
Lets say you did get Leonard. James, Leonard and even George, had he come here, would not be enough to win the West. To win the West, you have to beat Golden State and to do that, you gotta have starters and you gotta have bench. This year, if you got Leonard and George, you would have to give away all your young talent. Next year, you don't have to do that. So honestly, I just don't think that whole argument of get Leonard now at any cost holds water. If James is here to win, then that doesn't happen for at least two years IMO. I think he knows that. You wanna keep James happy, win a championship and the only way for LA to do that, IMO, is to be patient and wait. Next year, all those young guys have another years experience and the Lakers are once again, loaded with cap. That's when you make your move to me. They do that this year and they are over the cap again. That's no good to me.
Completely disagree on team building stuff there.
LAL is best off going over the cap and having an over the cap but not luxury tax 9M MLE next off-season IMHO.
A team with LeBron and Kawhi with a 9m slot can get a 3rd very quality player in and resign everyone to large amounts... See Golden State/HOU.
The kids aren't likely going to play enough minutes to raise their value and their value may very well go down.
This is inarguable when judged as a collective.
AND if you resign them using cap space you wanted to "save" or lose them for nothing (see Randle who would have drawn a decent return at the trade deadline) what good did holding them do you?
I absolutely agree about LA for the business interests and life after basketball. LeBron has had this choice to make many times and he chose LA this time for a reason.
He is absolutely planning for life after basketball.
But I also agree with RT that LeBron may feel very differently when those losses come.
He has always been miserable when the team loses.
Right now I think LAL is a 4 or 5 seed in the West.
Likely a bit better playoff team than regular season team as LBJ shoulders playoff load and I'm not sure that many of the guys who get actual minutes are on an arrow moving up.
Rondo, Lance and LeBron are not getting better.
A resigned Brook Lopez is not getting better.
KCP and Kuz/Ingram are NOT getting as many shots so may get better in efficiency but not stats.
Lonzo has all the pressure in the world and now must beat out a veteran NBA champion.
At the end of the day Lakers have trade assets in young kids and I believe Magic is trying to max those out.
One such move could be Brandon Ingram and Luol Deng to the Mavs for Wes Mathews.
That would provide an immediate upgrade for LAL of a 3 and D wing plus remove a very bad contract they haven't been able to offload.
And Wes is a FA next year LAL could likely resign at a big discount or rescind for his salary slot.
LAL may have better offers but those are the types of deals a win now team makes.
One of the missed talking points thus far is teams will not want to be 3rd or lower in the WC.
Because then you likely have to play BOTH GSW and HOU to advance.
And that likely means collecting 60 wins this year.
LBJ has not missed a Finals in forever.
If he does his shine and appeal will fade as far as drawing teammates IMHO.
Sitting back hoping to do so next year after a middling 50 win year? Not a great plan imo.
35 year old LeBron? Plus who? Their isn't a second All-Star caliber player.