The NFL seems to have stepped in it this time. First, Michael Lombardi is a football lifer -- has been a front office guy, worked for NFL Network, wrote for NFL.com, worked as an NFL analyst for Fox Sports, etc. It is unlikely he is lying when he says a couple of teams told him the league indicated the call was improper. I imagine Blandino is being honest in saying he hasn't told teams that. But Blandino isn't the only employee of the NFL. Second, the rule that keeps being bandied about says the officials "may call" a penalty in such a situation. That implies judgment. Logically and from the evidence that has emerged, the judgment revolves around whether the substitution was done with an intent to deceive the opposing team. It is pretty clear in this case that it wasn't.
The league doesn't have its story straight and is relying on the defense it has -- well there is a rule that covers the situation. But most everything else points to a conclusion that the call could have been made but probably shouldn't have been made. The fact that it was is magnified by the well-known proposition that the officials tend to let teams play when they've reached the playoffs. An obscure penalty requiring judgment is most unusual in the circumstance.
The fact the penalty was called doesn't demonstrate bias, but it probably points to the Packers having noticed substitution issues in the past and -- as teams will do -- asking the officials to watch for it. Unfortunately the officials seem to have been intent enough on watching that they bypassed a critical point -- there wasn't deception in replacing a WR with a WR, nor was such a move likely to have confused the defense.
The problem for the NFL is that two things likely have happened -- it has chosen to stand by its officials because the rule, technically, allowed them to make the call they did. But they seem also to have recognized that it was a poorly administered call and thus have informed teams not to expect to see it again in a similar circumstance. That would have been fine had a couple of teams not spoken to Lombardi, told him what the league said, and had he not then reported it on his Twitter account. Now they appear to be speaking from both sides of their mouth, and that almost certainly is the case.
It has been a very, very bad couple of weeks for the NFL. There is at least the perception of unfairness in a circumstance in which Zeke Elliott is being left out to dry for a couple of months while waiting to be cleared of dubious charges of having abused a woman, while at the same time Denver hires a new head coach who was accused of something similar and the 49ers interview a head coach candidate who was as well. Of course the circumstances are different, but it looks bad.
Given the Randy Gregory decision, whether fair or not, it also looks bad when the Packers have a player on the field who has been charged with possession and caught in deeply incriminating circumstances. That doesn't mean the two events are the same, but it doesn't look good.
Neither does it look good when the officials choose not to swallow the whistle on a late hold in one divisional title game and make the opposite decision in another game. Again, maybe they simply didn't see the hold on the Packers play. But it doesn't look good.
The NFL produces a product. We consume the product as long as we choose to do so. Perception of fairness is important to the league. This isn't a court of law; it is the court of public opinion. Perhaps the NFL can defend itself quite successfully in a court of law, but it is beginning to lose credibility in the court of public opinion. And it is incumbent upon the league, not the consumer, to change any negative perception. We are not required to consume the product. The NFL has an existential need to address lost credibility, regardless whether the league or the officials "got it right."
After 50-plus years of football -- playing, coaching, watching -- I have seen myriad poor calls. I have seen inexplicably bad calls. But I don't recall having lost confidence in the fairness of the competition -- until now, when my ability to suspend disbelief has been cracked if not entirely broken.
And please don't bore me with the hackneyed "You must play well enough to overcome bad calls." Of course you'd like to do that, but you can't always achieve that goal. Sometimes the timing or circumstance of poor calls can't be overcome. I'd rather look like George Clooney, but I don't.
And of course Dallas lost in large part because it doesn't have a great defense. But Green Bay doesn't either. What does any of that have to do with whether a poor call -- or a set of poor calls -- changed the outcome of a game? It is a false choice.
The NFL has benefited from the fact that most fans deeply prefer not to be seen as whiners or as grassy knoll conspiracy nuts. As a result, the morally superior position becomes "don't complain about the refs. Just play well enough to overcome them." But we are given another false choice, and quite frankly, we are sold a bill of goods.
Which is the crazier idea -- to wonder whether the officials have become biased for whatever reason or to blindly insist that a sport of which billions of dollars are gambled is immune to an officiating scandal? Such a scandal will almost certainly occur, as it has in other sports. When it does, it won't prove that all NFL games are rigged. But the fact that it almost certainly will occur proves once more that the NFL needs to take care that its games are perceived to be fair.
Recent events have challenged that requirement.