Dude a warning by one of the mods was posted in this thread I'm done with you. I'm not about to continue arguing something from 2 weeks ago with a couple of posters who clearly have an agenda.
KJJ, I know you and I do not get along. But I am telling you this in the hope that you will stop, weigh it, and think before you do what you usually do. Which is get defensive and avoid anything that anyone asks you.
The guy who told you to prove it and really don't get along. I'd at least shake your hand if we met and try to be friendly. I won't even pretend that I would shake his. So, between you and he, I like you better.
You with me so far?
He absolutely made you look foolish in this thread. Now, do NOT get defensive. Listen. Neither he, nor anyone else, is saying that Turnovers vs. TDs isn't an indicator of better odds of winning. You described that stat as the single, biggest, without flaw, no doubt about it stat to determine when a team is more likely to win than not.
You can't just say something like that and not back it up. I could turn right around and say the team that controls the clock wins more games than that stat, or the team that gets more first downs does. If we take a small sample, which is apparently what you did, it isn't enough evidence to support the theory. Not just your theory. Any theory.
If I take the same games you show, and I prove that the team with more first downs wins one more game than the team that turns it over less, I have disproven your theory. For that small sample.
No one is telling you that turnovers do not lead to losses. They are telling you that your comment it is the MOST significant stat will not hold water. Important, yes. No one disputes that. I hope you can at least grasp that. No one is disputing the importance of turnovers.
Your problem is that you think anything that supports your opinions is a fact, and that isn't the truth when you are using other people's opinions. If you quote the Pittsburgh GM as saying he wouldn't take Romo under any condition, and I quote the Baltimore GM who calls him a top 5 QB in this league, guess what? Neither of us have a fact backing us up, we have the opinions of others backing us up. There is a huge difference and BP tried to get you to see that.
Stop, weigh this, think about it, and try not to take this personal, because it isn't. You simply took a bad stance and avoided the actual discussion, which would have been interesting if you'd put some effort into it.