KJJ
You Have an Axe to Grind
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Absolutely correct.
That is why some of us are hoping upon hope that Jaylon can make it back this year.
Like they say, hindsight is 20-20.
No one knew back in April that Zeke, Dak, Collins and Brown would work out the way they did.
No one expected we would be 5-1, or FO may have done differently.
Even if we did not draft Jaylon, which player would have made a difference?
One can argue Jack, but he has seemed to have done jack.
He will have a short time fuse, besides we needed a DE.
Sheperd, does not help defense and our WRs have been fine.
Dont think Spence has done crap either.
You can argue Ragland since no one knew he would injured, but we originally planned on Mcclain for one more year. He also is not provide the pass rush.
You can argue Ngakoue but we had another chance to nab him in the 3rd but got Collins instead.
I dont see any well regarded DE that was available at 34.
They wanted Ogbah/Dodd, which probably would have been a mistake.
So how did we do in the 2nd round compared to others - see the stats below.
Our recent 2nd rounders have been Lee, Carter, Escobar, Lawrence, Gregory and Jaylon.
Lee, Carter and Lawrence became starters - so that is 50% hit rate right there.
Average LB success rate is 55% while DL is 26%, so we are doing really well with these 3.
Let say Escobar and Gregory are busts, though many argue Gregory is not totally there yet.
So that leaves Jaylon.
Even if Jaylon busts, we are doing ~average for NFL drafting, given DLs 2nd rounders are at only a 26% hit rate.
All this despite gambling on 3 injured players: Lee, Carter and Jaylon plus the questionable character Gregory.
1st Round - OL (83%) LB (70%) TE (67%) DB (64%) QB (63%) WR (58%) RB (58%) DL (58%)
2nd Round - OL (70%) LB (55%) TE (50%) WR (49%) DB (46%) QB (27%) DL (26%) RB (25%)
3rd Round - OL (40%) TE (39%) LB (34%) DL (27%) WR (25%) DB (24%) QB (17%) RB (16%)
The annoying thing is we did not picked up the old DE in FA for cheap, and he was available for a long time.
Don't see Smith making it back this season, he's missed too much work to have any success this year. Everyone back in April had a pretty good idea Zeke would turn out real good behind our OL. There's been no surprise with him other than him leading the league in rushing. Dak has been a dream come true, no one in their wildest dreams expected what we're seeing with him. We're having a surprising season like we did in 2014 due once again to our QB and RB. The 2014 season was done in by the lack of a pass rush in the playoffs and it would have been nice to have drafted a player defensively that could be making the impact on defense that Zeke and Dak are making on offense.
If Smith goes bust it's going to be another big setback defensively to go along with Gregory who probably won't be back next season. We have got to start making smarter decisions drafting defensively if we're ever going to have a defense that will help make us a great team. It makes no difference how good your offense is if you can't stop anyone. The Broncos proved that a few years ago. Loved what we have offensively but the defense has got to start catching up.