My Opinion on What's Going On With Dak's Contract

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Aerolithe_Lion

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In the end 55 or 60 isn’t going to make that much difference once you front load with huge signing bonus( last time was 66 million) and backloading Cap hits on final season ( this year 59.5 million).

5 million more per year won’t amount to more than a couple million per season on Cap hit if that. Which means it might cost us one bench player on the roster. Hardly preventing us building a better team.
Little tougher than that though because the first big contract was built on the heels of nothing. No remaining deals, just finite salary cap space. Dak has 40m$ in floating dead cap left after this year that would cripple a future contract. So the next 3-4 years will have yet another 8-15 million tagged on top of that 5ish million cap hit difference. Suddenly that’s a Demarcus Lawrence or a Treyvon Diggs difference
 

fivetwos

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Jethro should be happy making 500 million a year with lower ticket prices . But why should he if the Market doesn’t force him to?

I’m not sure fans all understand how the Capitalist market is driven.

Or maybe they’re just on the short end of the stick cause of poor life choices they’ve made.

But if you are in the Top 10 of your class you can dictate and negotiate your value according to the Market which is driven by Supply and Demand.

It’s the same for Doctors, Engineers, Lawyers, Accountants, etc and Athletes.
Also, agents push players to take the highest offer as if it’s some sort of obligation to the next generation of players to do so and keep them on the rise.

Maybe, but there’s also so much more to things than AAV, but that’s how contracts are perceived.

Regardless, a guy in Prescotts situation can absolutely call all the shots. Stay if he wants to take something that appears to appease Jerry’s ego’s desire for a discount…..or start again elsewhere with a FO that appears to at least be trying to win and won’t blame his salary for being the reason they cant.

It really comes down to if Prescott wants to stay here or not. He is getting 50+ a year and around 200 guaranteed either in Dallas or elsewhere.
 

Diehardblues

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Little tougher than that though because the first big contract was built on the heels of nothing. No remaining deals, just finite salary cap space. Dak has 40m$ in floating dead cap left after this year that would cripple a future contract. So the next 3-4 years will have yet another 8-15 million tagged on top of that 5ish million cap hit difference. Suddenly that’s a Demarcus Lawrence or a Treyvon Diggs difference
I’ll have to see the final numbers before I can make an assessment on potential impact.
 

acr731

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You’re an Eagles fan.

How much would you love to see the news of Dak resigning to the Cowboys?
I would love to see Dak traded to the Iggles. They hate Dallas enough as it is, just imagine how much worse their hate would be having to take on dead weight Dak as their QB...
 

MountaineerCowboy

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I would love to see Dak traded to the Iggles. They hate Dallas enough as it is, just imagine how much worse their hate would be having to take on dead weight Dak as their QB...
Dak fans think the Eagles fear Dak.

The truth is the Eagles have had the most success in their franchises history on Daks watch.

For Dak fans the Eagles are the Super Bowl. For the Eagles the Super Bowl is the Super Bowl.
 

DandyDon52

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Jerry talked to fish in todays fish show, and I found out what jerry is really thinking.
 

Aerolithe_Lion

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Tua falls right in line with what I said in the first post, and there’s no way in hell you can convince Todd France that Dak is only worth a couple more million than Tagovailoa
 

xwalker

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I think there is a major fundamental discord that most of the media and fans don’t even realize is happening:

Last year, Joe Burrow signed on to be the highest AAV athlete in the history of organized football for 55m$. This year, Trevor Lawrence matched that, and Jared Goff took slightly less than that at 53m$. Tua and Love are next up.

The problem is everyone is clamoring for Dak to take 56m$ and be the highest paid player ever, as that seems like the correct course for him. I believe Jerry is probably offering something like this and is continually backed up by the Dunning Krugers of the social platforms. But that is the wrong way for this to play out, and I believe the core reason Dak hasn’t signed yet.

Trevor Lawrence is not a viable player/situation to command the highest paid QB contract. Jared Goff isn’t a viable player to get close to commanding the highest QB contract. Neither is Tua nor Love. Dak is in a position to do that, despite playoff woes, due to prolificity, MVP considerations, and incredible leverage he currently holds. The previous 4 QBs are properly paid (or will be), even though they’re not viable top-of-the-market situations… why would I say that? Because 55m$ isn’t the top QB number for 2024 and shouldn’t be what Dak is going for. 2024 had the highest cap jump in league history. 2023’s 55m$ is the same cap % as 61m$ in 2024. By taking a deal around 56m$, Dak’s agent would be tanking the QB’s market share relative to the cap for the first time in 6 years as no other QB is going to get that amount.



When this tweet came out, people went nuts at how apparently greedy Prescott is trying to be. But this is exactly what he should be asking for and getting. From 2022 offseason to 2023, the highest paid QB jumped by 5m$ AAV. 2021 to 2022 was 5m$. And now with the biggest cap jump in history, it hasn’t changed at all. I believe the holdup is Jerry doesn’t get this.

TLDR; Dak’s AAV should rightfully be starting with a 6; that’s not him getting a ridiculous number; that’s him getting the appropriate number. Dallas’ inability to accept that is the reason I believe there’s a real chance he’s elsewhere next season. Todd France is not going to accept a market-deflating deal.

Dak & his agent could lose a huge amount of money if he plays 2024 without a new contract.

Injury or terrible performance could tank his market value.

Tom Brady in his prime would be minimally impacted in the same situation but players like Dak are not coveted by all teams even when healthy and coming off a good season.

Dak is a good player (great statistically) but he is not a Super Stsr.

Dak/agent had the most leverage prior to free agency because a new contract would have allowed the team to lower his 2024 cap hit.

At this point, they don't need extra cap space for 2024 because most or all of the expensive players are off the market.

If he gets to free agency, he still loses if he turns down a matching offer from the Cowboys to sign with another team. Marketing $$ will be far more as the Cowboys QB than with another team.
 

JBS

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I have no doubt this is all true but you have to understand who you speaking to. It's hard for most fans to understand HOW a player could not be happy making $56M PER YEAR.
That’s bc fans are dumb
 
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