jobberone
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Our new guy, NewsBot, posted this but I thought since it's the offseason and its a kool post I'd put it back up here. It's kinda buried in one article. More conversation to follow. Here's a snippet:
[URL='http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2013/6/24/4458658/judging-nfl-qbs-by-the-company-they-keep-tony-romo-aaron-rodgers-matt-ryan']http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2013...y-they-keep-tony-romo-aaron-rodgers-matt-ryan
http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2013...-bad-games-matt-ryan-tom-brady-peyton-manning[/URL]
Yesterday, in a post titled "Judging NFL QBs By The Company They Keep", we took a look at games in which currently active NFL QBs recorded a passer rating of 100.0 or more, compared W/L records in those games and looked at 100+ rating games as a percentage of games started.
What we found was that some QBs get a lot more help from their teams when they have a good game than others do, a reflection of the fact that it's not one player who wins and loses games. Today we're going to turn things around and look at poor QB performances to see which teams bail out their QBs when they have a bad day.
In yesterday's post, we saw that when the passer rating was initially developed in 1973, a passer rating of 66.7 was considered average, and everything below that was obviously below average. 40 years later, the NFL average has improved significantly: in 2012, the NFL average passer rating was 83.8. For the purposes of this post, we'll stick to the 66.7 passer rating, except we won't consider it an average or below average performance, we'll call it what it is: a poor performance.
I thought this was a very interesting way to look at a QBs supporting cast. I'm not convinced its predictive but I'm having a hard time criticizing it; but statistics was never my best subject. I am convinced it gives you a good look at who is and isn't a good QB.
I'd like to see what our turnover differential is in all our wins vs losses over the last 10 years as well as Romo's tenure. I'd like to see how much Romo contributed to that and I'd like to see the correlation of those results with his rating and the wins and losses. Since we've only won two games when Romo has had a passer rating less than 67 then that will be a small sample. And of course his turnovers will correlate with his rating however he may be able to overcome some of those and the other team could have done worse.
Anyway have at it.
[URL='http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2013/6/24/4458658/judging-nfl-qbs-by-the-company-they-keep-tony-romo-aaron-rodgers-matt-ryan']http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2013...y-they-keep-tony-romo-aaron-rodgers-matt-ryan
http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2013...-bad-games-matt-ryan-tom-brady-peyton-manning[/URL]
Yesterday, in a post titled "Judging NFL QBs By The Company They Keep", we took a look at games in which currently active NFL QBs recorded a passer rating of 100.0 or more, compared W/L records in those games and looked at 100+ rating games as a percentage of games started.
What we found was that some QBs get a lot more help from their teams when they have a good game than others do, a reflection of the fact that it's not one player who wins and loses games. Today we're going to turn things around and look at poor QB performances to see which teams bail out their QBs when they have a bad day.
In yesterday's post, we saw that when the passer rating was initially developed in 1973, a passer rating of 66.7 was considered average, and everything below that was obviously below average. 40 years later, the NFL average has improved significantly: in 2012, the NFL average passer rating was 83.8. For the purposes of this post, we'll stick to the 66.7 passer rating, except we won't consider it an average or below average performance, we'll call it what it is: a poor performance.
I thought this was a very interesting way to look at a QBs supporting cast. I'm not convinced its predictive but I'm having a hard time criticizing it; but statistics was never my best subject. I am convinced it gives you a good look at who is and isn't a good QB.
I'd like to see what our turnover differential is in all our wins vs losses over the last 10 years as well as Romo's tenure. I'd like to see how much Romo contributed to that and I'd like to see the correlation of those results with his rating and the wins and losses. Since we've only won two games when Romo has had a passer rating less than 67 then that will be a small sample. And of course his turnovers will correlate with his rating however he may be able to overcome some of those and the other team could have done worse.
Anyway have at it.
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