Playoff machine is back!

pancakeman

Well-Known Member
Messages
4,171
Reaction score
2,856
Yikes, it's really not hard to build realistic scenarios where the Cowboys go 11-5 (e.g. lose to Colts and Eagles once) and miss out on the playoffs.
 

Mookie

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,096
Reaction score
2,213
Yikes, it's really not hard to build realistic scenarios where the Cowboys go 11-5 (e.g. lose to Colts and Eagles once) and miss out on the playoffs.

This year's Cards? That would suck.
 

DuDa

Well-Known Member
Messages
759
Reaction score
496
After playing around with this for awhile, I have come to the conclusion that anything worse than a 4-2 record the rest of the way will result in the Cowboys missing the playoffs.
 

Pessimist_cowboy

Well-Known Member
Messages
12,900
Reaction score
15,272
After playing around with this for awhile, I have come to the conclusion that anything worse than a 4-2 record the rest of the way will result in the Cowboys missing the playoffs.

not if seattle and dallas both finish 10-6
 

Leadbelly

Well-Known Member
Messages
2,174
Reaction score
1,592
Kind of depressing. We can go 4-2 and still miss. We have to sweep the Eagles or go 5-1. The scenarios where we come in as a wildcard are pretty slim.
 

Letemburn

Member
Messages
820
Reaction score
11

cheftjpeck

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,442
Reaction score
1,542
What I don't get is if we beat Seattle this year in head to head how do we end up a lower seed if we finish with same record ? Isn't it head to head first
 

Wheeltax

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,399
Reaction score
993
When I went through with my picks, Dallas ends up 11-5 and out of the playoffs. Ugh. Fortunately, I'm always wrong on pick 'ems.
 

Leadbelly

Well-Known Member
Messages
2,174
Reaction score
1,592
What I don't get is if we beat Seattle this year in head to head how do we end up a lower seed if we finish with same record ? Isn't it head to head first

That's what I was just about to ask.

I had a config where Seattle, Detroit, San Francisco, Philadelphia and Dallas finished 10-6 and the playoff simulator has Seattle winning the tie-break against us.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/mac...0554361~2~400554446~1~400554411~1~400554401~1

Here's their explanation...

  • 3rd Seed - Philadelphia
    NFC East Champ (Wins tie break over Dallas based on best win percentage in division games.)
  • 5th Seed - Seattle
    Wins tie break over Detroit based on strength of victory. Wins tie break over Dallas based on best win percentage in conference games. Division tie break was initially used to eliminate San Francisco (Seattle wins tie break over San Francisco based on best win percentage in division games).
  • 6th Seed - San Francisco
    Wins tie break over Detroit based on strength of victory. Wins tie break over Dallas based on best win percentage in conference games.

If you click through to their write-up of the tiebreaker criteria, head-to-head is the first determining factor if it's a tie between two teams outside of a division. But it seems like they are not applying that when it's a tie between 3 or more teams in different divisions.

If I'm reading it right, they're ignoring head-to-head until later in the tie breaking criteria. The in-division tiebreaker happens first, then wildcard.

So if Seattle is seeded ahead of San Francisco on the division tiebreaker and San Francisco is seeded ahead of Dallas in the wildcard tiebreaker, then (I think) Dallas cannot be seeded ahead of Seattle. Or they're just applying the tiebreaker incorrectly.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?page=tiebreakers
 

dstovall5

Well-Known Member
Messages
3,160
Reaction score
2,211
Wow that's scary, I got a feeling that week 1 matchup will come back to haunt us on a tie breaker.
 

HappyOnions

Datwin
Messages
2,570
Reaction score
2,106
Clearly, this is how things will ultimately end up.

10394612_10152883536028308_5853085407438458610_n.jpg
 
Top