Look at Adrian Peterson, and let's focus on his prime from 2007-2015. If you're just looking at the box score it looks good, double digit TDs every year, but the amount of touches it took him to get there swung greatly. I'm just going to put the table in a spoiler for readability.
There's not really a pattern to it. Sometimes he had efficient years, sometimes he had slow years. His YPC stayed virtually the same every season: 4.4-4.8 every year from 2008-2015, plus his epic 6.0 YPC 2000 yard campaign. So it was the same dude running the ball in basically the same offense, but his scoring rate just randomly came and went. Even in his breakaway-heavy 2012 freakout, he actually one of his worst years scoring wise.
So for the third time: TDs are a high variance stat. They really don't depend on a player's talent, they're a small sample of touches dependent more on luck and offensive opportunity. As long as a RB keeps getting chances in the red zone, the odds will and eventually do swing the other way.
"But you're missing the point! AP had double digit TDs every season!"
Zeke's got 9 TDs right now, and he's got a good shot at making double digit TDs himself if he plays vs the Giants this week, so I don't want to hear that. It's not going to come on an efficient year, but a lot of Peterson's scoring didn't come on efficient years either.
This is my last post in the thread, so I'll just sum it up again. Have patience. The touchdowns will come. The odds will get even.
Look at Adrian Peterson, and let's focus on his prime from 2007-2015. If you're just looking at the box score it looks good, double digit TDs every year, but the amount of touches it took him to get there swung greatly. I'm just going to put the table in a spoiler for readability.
There's not really a pattern to it. Sometimes he had efficient years, sometimes he had slow years. His YPC stayed virtually the same every season: 4.4-4.8 every year from 2008-2015, plus his epic 6.0 YPC 2000 yard campaign. So it was the same dude running the ball in basically the same offense, but his scoring rate just randomly came and went. Even in his breakaway-heavy 2012 freakout, he actually one of his worst years scoring wise.
So for the third time: TDs are a high variance stat. They really don't depend on a player's talent, they're a small sample of touches dependent more on luck and offensive opportunity. As long as a RB keeps getting chances in the red zone, the odds will and eventually do swing the other way.
"But you're missing the point! AP had double digit TDs every season!"
Zeke's got 9 TDs right now, and he's got a good shot at making double digit TDs himself if he plays vs the Giants this week, so I don't want to hear that. It's not going to come on an efficient year, but a lot of Peterson's scoring didn't come on efficient years either.
This is my last post in the thread, so I'll just sum it up again. Have patience. The touchdowns will come. The odds will get even.
What the hell are you even on about? He, no matter what, consistently got double digit TDs on the ground. If anything is spuratic with scoring, it’s receiving for RBs.
Whether Peterson was getting under 300 carries or 300+ he was getting 10+ TDs.
Zeke has 300+ this year on the ground and couldn’t get double digit TDs.
Good point. Emmitt Smith had 19 fumbles during his first 3 years in the NFL. I'm sure the OP would have cut Smith had he been the GM. Especially since Smith was only averaging 4.53 yards per touch after 3 seasons(5034 yards from scrimmage). Elliott averages 5.23 yards per touch(5247 yards from scrimmage) through almost 3 seasons. Elliott is complete trash and should be dealt. I don't know why Jimmy Johnson kept Smith. The smart move obviously would have been to move on.
So if we win it all this season will you still be upset?
I cheer for them no matter what. Not for their demise lol
We are the only team? So teams that havent won a sb should have no fans at all based on your thoughts.
