Hoofbite;5028678 said:
15 yards is a lot. If you have a strong defense, why wouldn't you accept the penalty bypassing 4th & 2 from field goal range when the alternative is 3rd & 17 from outside field goal range?
What about 4th and Goal and the penalty coming on a scoring play? Now it becomes 4th & Goal from the 15. That's 4 points immediately off the board unless the team is in a position where they need the TD.
I think it is rather obvious from my post that I was implying that late in the when a team NEEDS a first down (not wants, but needs) that on 4th down a running back will take his chances because they either don't get the first down, get the first down or get a second chance, albeit from further back.
Obviously, if a team is on the other team's 35 yard line or closer and they are only down by 3 or less points late in the game, they would not want their running back to risk getting a penalty any more than you would want a quarterback to throw the ball in the middle of the field with only seconds left in the game and no timeouts.
However, what I said is absolutely true and is exactly what will happen in games without a doubt. If it's late in the fourth quarter and its 4th down and you need a first down, the ball carrier (could be a receiver who does it, doesn't matter) will lead with his head every time if he's close to the first down marker but not sure he can make it.
The players will do that if they need the first down and are not likely to get the ball back. It's a win-win situation for the offense. At best, you get the first down and the refs don't throw the flag. Assuming you get the first down, if the refs throw the flag at least you have a second chance. If the ball carrier had not lowered his head, your team would be walking off the field knowing the game is over.
IMO, this penalty will impact the game every time it is called, be it field position or negation of a first down or scoring play.
Sure it will. It just won't matter as much late in the game if the team that's behind needs a first down and it's 4th down. Now if the ball carrier gets the first down and then lowers his head, then yes, the penalty (if thrown) will hurt.
I want to see how the penalty is written. It has to apply to WRs as well doesn't it? What's the determining element? Can't just be a RB lowering his head because you could easily do that to brace for impact.
I would think it would apply to any ball carrier using the top of his helmet to spear defenders.
I think it's an awful rule. I'm disappointed it passed 31-1 and I applaud Cincinnati for voting against it. People wil hang the responsibility on Mara and Goodell but this was a league wide decision which makes every team that voted for it just as responsible.
I don't hate the rule as much as I hate the subjective aspect of it. Because of that, they made the rule unreviewable meaning one referee can decide the outcome of games in yet another way.
I'm pretty disappointed all around with it. It looks like it will be a vague rule up to the discretion of the official. First and foremost, it only applies outside the tackle box and to plays 3 yards downfield. If this was such an important safety measure, you'd have to include the tackle box because that's probably where 75% of this sort of contact occurs.
They voted for the tuck rule too
This is nothing more than a feel good move.
If I had to guess, teams will start running even less now outside the box making the NFL even more pass happy.
/reality