Anyone that has been really following this conflict very closely for the past 2 years, taking in all of the footage and reports, will probably agree that the Ukrainian Army was broken around this time last year after spring offensive. That was like the 3rd Army that Ukraine had built (each one being less capable than the previous). Now they don't have the numbers, equipment or morale and have been retreating away from the frontline because Russia has been pounding them with guided bombs on a scale that looks like Operation Iraqi Freedom. And what's worse, up until this point they had been mobilizing mostly Russian speaking men from longstanding Russian parts of that region (like a sadistic cleansing), but now have finally tapped into Metropolitans like Kiev and Lviv. And those sophisticated, Ukrainian speaking people aren't having it.
IMO, this collapse of the Ukrainian Army is what is triggering the sabre rattling from the West, particularly France as they have the type of shock troops specially built to traverse a thousand miles in a day and secure small but key parts of Western Ukraine. Undoubtedly, they are staged in a border state waiting for the orders.
If I had to predict, I think that Russia will finish securing the 4 Oblasts it set out to reclaim AND that NATO boots will be on the ground in a limited fashion to secure Odessa giving NATO a "Win". This is a minimum...It doesn't end there. If Ukraine doesn't dismantle its Army and still keeps indiscriminately shelling Donetsk, like it's been doing since 2015, then Russia will have to expand out until that stops. So basically a buffer zone or DMZ, if you will. And because we have a NATO foothold in Ukraine and NATO never leaves once it's in, this Country might be broken into two. A Western and Eastern Ukraine with a DMZ in the middle. And this will be a huge money pit like the Military Industrial Complex wants. It's a crap sandwich for everyone involved except for those at the top raking in money. If we had any real Leadership in D.C., this would be over in a day.
Anyway, I will still stick with what I said in this thread 2 years ago.
This was all about NATO expansion and giving the Military Industrial Complex (MIC) its long awaited feeding at the taxpayer trough.
I wish people around the World luck, but we desperately need to work on our own house now. We've neglected the most important part and that is the American people.