Let’s project this out: Diggs (five years, $100 million, $20 million per), Lamb (five years, $125 million, $25 million per) and Parsons conservatively at five years for $150 million ($30 million per), and you hope Dak Prescott remains at around $40 million per year. Now, you understand the Cowboys’ roster has four guys at $115 million per season and that is their core for now. They should have roughly that total again to fill out the other 50 guys on the roster. Now you know the Cowboys aren’t chasing too many things in free agency.
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There just isn't enough pie when in the next couple of years you may be giving half of it to 4 players.
But we should be quite used to this....
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Since Carr in 2012? The five biggest free-agent signings are all small with no impact: Henry Melton, Benson Mayowa, Cedric Thornton, Nolan Carroll and Gerald McCoy … I guess? Five biggest impacts? Robert Quinn has to count, technically a trade. Jeremy Mincey? Jayron Kearse? We really cannot come up with five. They have literally stopped shopping in free agency beyond one-year deals almost at all. Maybe they have something planned this year. Don’t cross your fingers.
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That is a scary list. We just don't do free agency. Free agency bad. Add to that the impending deals for Diggs, Lamb and Micah that they have to budget for and you can see why any hopes for a Wagner or Hopkins or even OBJ are probably just a pipe dream.
Quite a list and would scare people especially fans but it does leave out the very good facts.
First the salary cap is rising and rising by quite a bit. In 2024, it is projected to be at $256 million and up to $328 million in 2027. Have to take that into the equation also.
Second, those are projected salary per year and we all know those are not the real numbers for each year as the 1st three years of the contract will be far less. The question always is what is the cap hit for each year and will they extend the contract or restructure those contracts when they need to have cap money.
Third, it is a myth that being over the cap puts you in cap hell. Why, look at the Rams and the Saints and half the stinking league every year. There are cuts, restructures, and on and on to not get under the cap but to also sign free agents.
Fourth, the fact is every year teams over pay for free agents in the first 10 days. Some work out but 70 percent never live up to their new contracts or perceive to work out to their new contracts.
The way Dallas does free agency frustrates fans every year because big signings energize the fan base with hope even if it is false hope. Sure I want them to sign a very good CB and Nose tackle and left guard but realistically they are gambles just like draft picks are a gamble. If neither were gambles then every draft pick would contribute day one. They don't and we know it. Over half of all 1st round picks fail, be it the wrong scheme or they just couldn't cut it.
Will we get some guys they will make a difference in free agency other than our own, I sure hope so. Will the draft provide needed run stopper and better offensive line and weapons, sure hope so. But like all, it is always a wait and see with Dallas because there aren't any BIG THING going to happen.