dangerdoom;2001918 said:
Or he can turn into Darrell Green.
Risk/reward....
If 1 in 20 corners turn into D Green (and I personal bet the odds are a lot larger, like 1 in 100) then how can you risk a big bonus and contract on a position that historically falls off at the age of 30 and beyond?
I dont know the true stats so if 50% of all corners play at a high level until age 35, then that changes the analysis considerably.
The contract has to enable us to not get crushed by a cap hit if he gets injured or his skills fall of dramatically. Keep in mind that the new contract would go into effect when Newman is 31 years old, not 30.
I'm also highly wary of dolling out huge contracts to all but the very best, high character type guys because it's human nature to get fat, happy and comfortable once you get paid. Beyond the risk of injury and competitiveness is the risk of loss of desire and hunger to compete at a high level (see R Williams or B Favre for that matter-in no way comparing Favre to Roy).
Regardless of what happens, this is going to be a very tough decision and I sure hope Jerry & co know their stuff before they make a risky long term, cap crippling commitment. Jerrys lack of involvement in this years free agent pool gives me some comfort that maybe he has learned from his mistakes and has more faith in the personnel department.
IMHO, our future rises and falls in the PR department & draft and I want to be competitive long term, not just a few brief years.