The Escobar Pick: Revisting the Cowboys Draft Board

85Cowboy85

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,519
Reaction score
1,664
I know I know beating a dead horse. But I had a little free time on my hands and based on some of the discussion I thought it might be worth while to take a look.

Basically I went back through the draft and tried to recreate what the draft board would have looked like when the 47th pick came around. All the players with a first round grade were gone at this point. Assuming I didn't make any mistakes these are the players with a second round grade that were available:

+2 Terrance Williams, WR
0 Gavin Escobar, TE
-4 Ryan Nassib, QB
-5 Margus Hunt, DE
-7 Matt Barkley, QB
-12 Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB
-14 Eddie Lacy, RB

The number represents the number of spots below or above Escobar the player was. For instance Williams was the best player remaining on the board and two spots above Escobar.

The most interesting name on this list is DE Margus Hunt from SMU. He was selected six picks later by the Bengals at 53. Doing a small amount of research on him he has very very good measurables. Raw talent however so I would say he's a classic boom or bust type guy. Worth noting he is already 26 years old. Even if he does boom it might be a limited window for his career.

The thing about drafting for need is that if the player is not a year one starter the point is somewhat moot. That's because the team will have other drafts/Free agency within that time frame to address the need.

I think Hunt is a slight reach but I would find it acceptable if he were taken by the Cowboys at 47. For me I would be okay with either Hunt, Escobar, Williams and maybe Nassib. I tend to be a pure BPA guy so if I'm in Jerry's shoes I'm taking Williams. However as it turned out Williams was available at 73 so taking Escobar is actually the move which maximized the Cowboys potential value.

People have said they would have rather taken next best OL/DL instead of Escobar. The next best DT had a third round grade and that was Bennie Logan. Cowboys had him at number 51 on their board he ended up being selected with the 67th pick of the third round by the Eagles. Keep in mind Escobar was ranked 25th on the Cowboys board.

For the offensive line it gets worse. All remaining offensive lineman had a fourth round grade or lower. When Jerry said Frederick was the last of the Mohicans he wasn't kidding.

Next Available OL:

C: Khaled Holmes 70th player on Cowboys board
T: Dallas Thomas 78th player on Cowboys board
G: Brian Winters 89th player on Cowboys board

Basically if you had substituted Escobar for next best available DT or O-lineman you would have been reaching by at least one round. The scouts may end up being wrong on Escobar but I do not fault the draft strategy. What say you zoners? Do you favor the Escobar pick or do you think the Cowboys should have gone OL/DL?
 

CowboyStar88

Well-Known Member
Messages
23,166
Reaction score
25,557
I agree with you. Everyone is complaining about they should've taken an OL/DL with that pick but it's obvious it would've been a total reach.
 

BAT

Mr. Fixit
Messages
19,443
Reaction score
15,607
I hate to cherry pick in hindsight but I would have chosen Margus Hunt or Brian Winters over Escobar.
 

speedkilz88

Well-Known Member
Messages
36,949
Reaction score
23,097
I hate to cherry pick in hindsight but I would have chosen Margus Hunt or Brian Winters over Escobar.

I watched the most recent Hard Knocks because it had the Cowboys game and Hunt is real green. He could easily end up being a bust. Parnell kicked his butt out there. They could have had Winters in the 3rd.
 

MichaelWinicki

"You want some?"
Staff member
Messages
47,997
Reaction score
27,917
CowboysZone ULTIMATE Fan
Brilliant thread.

You didn't just toss out an opinion but backed it up with information.

applause.gif
 

dirt

Member
Messages
288
Reaction score
0
What about Larry Warford...the Kentucky guard? Do u know where he was ranked?
 

ThreeandOut

Well-Known Member
Messages
3,873
Reaction score
4,213
I don't have it in front of me, but I believe that after round 1 there were only two OL's that were available in the rounds the Cowboys had them graded (Holmes in the 4th and Fragel in round 6). But they would have bypassed players graded at least a round higher to select these OL's. That's why I think if they hadn't taken Frederick in the 1st, they wouldn't have taken an OL in this draft.
 

85Cowboy85

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,519
Reaction score
1,664
I hate to cherry pick in hindsight but I would have chosen Margus Hunt or Brian Winters over Escobar.

From what I've read Winters has been good for the Jets. They took him 10th pick of the third and he has a chance to start for them. For whatever reason the Cowboys scouts had him rated much lower.
 

85Cowboy85

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,519
Reaction score
1,664
I don't have it in front of me, but I believe that after round 1 there were only two OL's that were available in the rounds the Cowboys had them graded (Holmes in the 4th and Fragel in round 6). But they would have bypassed players graded at least a round higher to select these OL's. That's why I think if they hadn't taken Frederick in the 1st, they wouldn't have taken an OL in this draft.

The board is here: http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2013...ft-board-leaked-almost-complete-7-round-board

I don't have the time to go through it totally but Wilcox, Webb and Randle all had 3rd round grades on them. The next available O-line man even as early as the Escobar pick was rated a fourth rounder.

This draft just wasn't that strong on the O-line beyond the first round. Lots of great players at the top but not much depth through the draft.
 

DFWJC

Well-Known Member
Messages
59,981
Reaction score
48,728
CowboysZone LOYAL Fan
If the position does not match your board then, of course, you trade down.

But it's water under the bridge, plus it assumes the Cowboy board was accurate.

At this point, I'm pulling for all of our picks. Get 'er done
 

ThreeandOut

Well-Known Member
Messages
3,873
Reaction score
4,213
The board is here: http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2013...ft-board-leaked-almost-complete-7-round-board

I don't have the time to go through it totally but Wilcox, Webb and Randle all had 3rd round grades on them. The next available O-line man even as early as the Escobar pick was rated a fourth rounder.

This draft just wasn't that strong on the O-line beyond the first round. Lots of great players at the top but not much depth through the draft.

They had four of their selections (Williams, Webb, Randle, and Holloman) graded a round higher than where they selected them. They're always going to take that type of value over need.
 

davey999

Well-Known Member
Messages
4,459
Reaction score
4,042
They had four of their selections (Williams, Webb, Randle, and Holloman) graded a round higher than where they selected them. They're always going to take that type of value over need.

No they aren't. Incorrect.
 
Top