I think Alabama will win. I want Texas, not because I'm a big Horns fan, I just don't care much for Alabama.
The one thing the NCAA has gotten right more often than not though, with the BCS, is they usually get the clearcut #1 vs. #2 in the championship game.
I think Alabama and Texas deserve to play for the championship. Florida had their shot and lost in the SEC championship game. Cincinnati, TCU and even Boise St basically proved they were overrated and didn't belong anywhere close to the champ. game.