jterrell
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NFL viewership is down 8% for the season. That is insanely high versus ANY OTHER PROGRAMMING.Don't know if you've been following this but the thinking that a captive audience would be a ratings bonanza has not happened and in fact the TV nets are doing make goods and discounting the rates because of the 25% drop in viewership. It was off almost 50% on Thanksgiving. This is unheard of to be discounting rates on the NFL.
In case you haven't noticed, the commercial load has increased and the same tired ATT, Progressive, State Farm, Toyota ads are hard to avoid along with every prescription drug with s=ide effects as bad as what they're designed for. It is overkill to the point of really being interested in the game to stay with it. I find myself drifting and checking out what's going on elsewhere.
There are several reasons floating out there, one of which we cannot discuss here, but I do not think this is temporary, I think the NFL and the nets are going to have to adjust to what I think the real enemy is, choices. And I have seen some ad men addressing this as the challenge.
TV nets don't usually try to counter NFL programming and in fact will promote games on other nets but the new kids on the block, Netflix, Amazon, Apple, Disney, Hulu, Peacock and HBO MAX don't have to worry about that, they just keep cranking out the productions. And advertising them during the games.
It does sound logical that live sports would get a boost with a stay at home audience but all of them were off and not just by a little, MLB. NBA, NHL were in the dumpster. And the once impervious NFL joined them and with TV deals coming up tied to the cap, this will be most interesting to see where this goes.
Some will say this is temporary. Like some said the NFL ratings would go through the roof. I don't think so.
Cable packages are way down.
In 2018, there were 90.3 million US households subscribed to PA (Cable/Satellite) TV, with that number dropping by almost 4 million in 2019 to 86.5 million. This number was expected to drop even further in 2020 to 82.9 million households.
Homes that have cut the cord are likewise increasing at a similar rate. In 2018, the number of households without pay TV service was 36 million. That number has steadily increased to 40.2 million in 2019 and an estimated 44.3 million in 2020.
It is important to point out that just because a household doesn’t have Pay TV service, doesn’t mean they are a cord cutter. As many Millennials enter the workforce, they simply do not see the benefit of paying over $123 a month on cable service and are colloquially referred to as ‘Cord Nevers’. A cord cutter is someone who once did pay for TV, then cancelled their service in favor of cheaper and/or more customer friendly alternatives such as streaming or the use of a DTV antenna.
NFL has no real issues with viewership. It's an overall shift in the market place to streams a decent % of which are free and not counted.
The NFL will likely eventually just run its own app. And sell the games directly to you.