I don’t think you were serious but I’ll go ahead and provide the information in case someone else is legitimately interested.
“Recent”, in this case, would mean the last 13 years. Is that enough?
In that time only five QB’s have been franchised. Only Cousins was allowed to get away, as I described in my previous post.
- Dak - 2020 - Exclusive Tag - TBD
- Cousins - 2016 - Non-Exclusive Tag - 2017 - Exclusive Tag - Left as an unrestricted free agent in 2018
- Brees - 2012 - Exclusive Tag - Signed 5 year deal a few months later
- Manning - 2011 - Exclusive Tag - Signed 5 year deal a few months later
- Vick - 2011 - Exclusive Tag - Signed 6 year deal a few months later
- Cassel - 2009 - Non-Exclusive Tag - Traded a few months later to KC
So, yeah, I’d say that every indication from the team, player, coaches and front office says he will stay. If you choose to ignore all that then, we’ll, there’s the real data I share in this post.
Teams don’t cut franchise QB’s, they don’t bring competition into camp for the starting job and they do everything they can to sign them long term if they are forced to tag them.
If you have anything to contribute to the discussion, I’m all ears.