Bob Sacamano;2394528 said:
doesn't the chances of scoring decrease the longer the field you have to work w/?
Yes, the longer the field the harder it is to score. So Romo does make the defense look better by sustaining longer drives.
I was thinking about a different point, which I haven't really thought through. My idea is, for example, you have two teams that are tied at 10. Statistically each team has a 50% chance of winning. Let's say we knew that a team leading 17-10 had a 60% chance of winning. Throwing an interception at the opposition' one yard line reduces your chances of winning from essentially 60% to 50% (because you wouldn't go up 17-10), while if you are tied at ten and you throw a pick at your own one you reduce your chance of winning from 50% to essentially 40% (because you'd go down 17-10). Maybe a stats guy can let us know if that is right or wrong.
Edit: the point I am trying to make is that throwing a pick at the opposition's one or at your own one yard line are equally bad. (and after reading the thread, no one said otherwise, so I'm just talking to myself).