Ew, I'm not sure about that. I think we split the series with Philly and Giants, we get swept by the Football Team, we beat Panthers, Saints, Falcons and Broncos. I see 6-10. But maybe 6-10 does win the division. If we sweep the Giants and the Eagles, possible but who knows, then we'll be 8-8.
The division games will be key, more key than usual years because I don't think our division will win a lot of games outside the division. I see us winning 4 games outside the division. The ones I stated above. I don't see us beating KC, TB, LV, Ari, Chargers, Minny.
The old adage, it's not who you play but when you play them will be a factor. Based off of last year I see 6-10. Realistically and not trying to be negative. But last year with a healthy Dak we barely beat one of the worst teams in the league (Falcons) and were slugging it out with the Giants before Dak went down. I agree with you about not competing for anything meaningful for 2-3 years and the division is iffy.