Temo
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I think going for it on 4th down was definitely the right call. Lets assume the FG is a gimmie and doesn't get blocked or miss.
- if they fail on 4th down, then the Commanders have the ball on their own 17 yard line with 1:02 left and no timeouts, needing a touchdown.
- If they kick the FG, now you have to kick off with 1:02 left and, knowing your special teams sucks, have to squib it. Most Squibs still end up around the 40 yard line. Now the Commanders have maybe 55 seconds to score a TD with no timeoutes. I'd take the 7 seconds and push them back 23 yards and risk losing on a TD.
So ALREADY SAYING that the 4th down attempt is going to fail and that the field goal is a gimmie, do:
1. Put the ball on the 17 with 1:02 left up 4.
or
2. Put the ball on the 40 with 0:55 left up 7.
I'd go with 1.
- if they fail on 4th down, then the Commanders have the ball on their own 17 yard line with 1:02 left and no timeouts, needing a touchdown.
- If they kick the FG, now you have to kick off with 1:02 left and, knowing your special teams sucks, have to squib it. Most Squibs still end up around the 40 yard line. Now the Commanders have maybe 55 seconds to score a TD with no timeoutes. I'd take the 7 seconds and push them back 23 yards and risk losing on a TD.
So ALREADY SAYING that the 4th down attempt is going to fail and that the field goal is a gimmie, do:
1. Put the ball on the 17 with 1:02 left up 4.
or
2. Put the ball on the 40 with 0:55 left up 7.
I'd go with 1.