Teams projections are messed up in the draft all the time, your facsimile states that probability and cause are an actuality. That fact means you can explain all anomaly's with generalities; like your statement. The fact that he had a chance to be drafted in the top 15 is a fact and should be treated as that according to all available datasteams. I could say however, he is the best available of all available players in a set that has been distinguished from a mean of available experts but not all experts in any/every eventuality in existence. Basically a top 15 without parameters, has an infinite amount/variation of outcomes and can't be disputed. He is right and you are right but because there is no actual top 15 list that is set in stone means neither is right and neither is wrong. Opinion is a funny thing.