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There is a high probability that you are right. However, that probability is nowhere near 100%.Eagles are going 14-3 at worst imo. Even going undefeated the rest of the way probably won’t be enough for Dallas.
Dallas's Super Bowl history is based on defying the odds. The 1970 and 1975 seasons are prime examples.
Back then the NFC East was five teams, the current four plus the St Louis Cardinals.
The St Louis Cardinals had some very dominant years in the mid-70's thanks to their HC, Don Coryell. there was also George Allen and the Washington "Can't-say-it -anymores"
And, yet, the Cowboys went to three Super Bowls from 1975 to 1978. there was one wilcard team per conference back then.