AdamJT13
Salary Cap Analyst
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Doomsay;2755629 said:Come now, let's have full disclosure here - He's also right on the cusp of the top 3rd in the Huddle Report's mock draft rankings both this year and on a 3 year average (40 should tie him for 16th, but they have him as 18th - with some tie breaker, I assume). Never said that he was better than Gosselin or anybody else, that's all manufactured by you - I never looked at his site until yesterday when someone was being mocked for using it.
If you look behind the rankings (I found 2 top mock guys that had at least 3 rounds of picks - on free websites ..Abromowitz @2 and McCrystal @10) the top guys don't seem to be all that different than say a top second quartile guy in terms of placing a player in the proper round. The 2 top guys had on an average correctly placed players in rounds 51% of the time, while Watler had achieved 47%, not a meaningful difference.
Once more, Abromowitz at #2 had a similar 50% reach factor that you found so objectionable coming from Walter for our picks looking at his 7 round mock. In the end, I wonder if the collective scouting departments (the good and the bad) are better than the best mock drafter in terms of predicting actual performance. There is a high correlation between actual draft order and ultimate success in the NFL, at least at the top levels, I wonder if there have been studies of certain mock draft's value as a predictor of future performance?
I have no idea what you're trying to say. (And there's a difference between mock drafts and player rankings.)
Did you, or did you not, say we had several reaches based on what you read at BAN-INCOMING-IN-3-2-1?