I look for the ACC to make a push soon to add teams. If they don't try to stay relevant they will lose FSU and Clemson. Clemson I believe likes the ACC because they recruit the SEC athletes but don't have to play their schedules.
I think the ACC may reach out to 4 teams to try to stay relevant. Those four teams: Notre Dame they already have a working partnership, West Virginia it is rumored they reached out after WVU committed to big 12, Kansas-Instantly the best basketball conference in the county and a fourth could be a Cincinnati.
ACC can't reach out to offer much to teams.
They are locked in a 2036 TV deal and grant of rights deal that hogties them. If they lose ND they have zero leverage and will likely fall.
They pay out far less than the Big 12 right now and are tied to a bad deal long-term unless they can get enough power to renegotiate.
So WVA isn't moving there no matter how much WVA may love the idea it isn't feasible financially.
Most likely the Big 12 will add the 4 Rocky Mountain teams" Ariz/Colo/ASU/Utah, then look to get from 16 to 20 with biggest non-SEC/B1G teams left.
That would get us toward 3 20-team conferences with B12 the 3rd of those.
SEC will pilfer ACC of 4 highest earners(FSU/Clemson for sure) and B12 will take those scraps of next 4 highest(Louisville and/or Pitt prolly in that package) as WVA rivals.
B1G prolly takes ND/STAN/ORE/WAS.
Major D1 shrinks from 3 P5 conferences to 3 Mega conferences with a 12 team playoff guaranteeing each conf 2 spots.
ACC
The league’s 20-year top-tier deal with ESPN runs through 2036. It pays about $240 million annually, meaning each of the 14 schools gets about $17 million.
Big Ten
The league is in the middle of a six-year, $2.64 billion deal with Fox and ESPN that expires in 2023 and currently makes it the lead dog in annual TV revenue. The league gets about $440 million a year in TV money (including from the Fox-run Big Ten Network), meaning each of the 14 schools receives about $31.4 million. With CBS losing its SEC deal, might that network want a piece of Big Ten football? Negotiations for the league’s next TV contract will be mighty interesting.
Big 12
The league is in the midst of a 13-year deal with ESPN and Fox that ends in 2025, and reports earlier this year said the networks were not interested in early renegotiations. That is one of the reasons Oklahoma and Texas are leaving the league. The current deal pays the 10-school league about $200 million annually.
SEC
ESPN will be the exclusive home of SEC football and men’s basketball starting in 2024. The 10-year contract reportedly will be worth more than $300 million annually for the league; that is on top of the current deal with ESPN (that one also ends in 2034) that includes the televising of certain football and basketball games and the SEC Network. Consider that the current deal with CBS is worth $55 million a year. And consider that SEC expansion almost certainly will lead to a re-opening of negotiations. (Under that new ESPN deal, the 14 member schools would’ve expected to receive about $40 million a year solely from the league’s TV deal. In the 2018-19 fiscal year, each SEC school received about $44 million
total from the SEC’s entire revenue distribution system.)
College Football Playoff
ESPN pays the CFP $470 million annually in a deal that runs through 2025-26. Figures from the 2019-20 season show that each of the Power 5 leagues received a baseline $67 million; the other five FBS conferences shared $92 million. That $470 million is with a four-team playoff; playoff expansion is expected to easily triple (
and come close to quadrupling) that amount.