There is nothing more useless than "expert" draft grades the day or week after the draft. Seriously, what determines a good pick when no one knows how each player will play at an NFL level. Here is the deal that plays out every draft every year, and it never changes. 75% of the guys drafted in the top 15 will probably make a pro-bowl at some point in their careers. 25% will not. from 16-32 less than half will make a pro bowl. The same decline will occur i the second round and by the 4th round pro-bowl level players are rare. They are almost non-existent in the 6th and 7th rounds. Of course there are some but it is rare.
But no one knows who those players will be until they play.
Anyone remember Javon Kinlaw, the DT who was highly regarded coming out of college? He was selected 14th by the 49ers in 2020. What's he done in his 2 years? The 49ers signed Javon Hargrave to play DT and Kinlaw is his backup. "Experts" lauded the 49ers for the pick. The Cowboys took CeeDee Lamb a few picks later.
The experts who grade these drafts have their own biases, but also fall for name recognition. Some Dude is highly touted and goes in the first 10 picks. What a win for the team that took him. Which says nothing about the other 22 teams who would have taken him if they were drafting in the top 10!
The Cowboys got the 2nd best rated, and maybe the best, DT in the draft. It s a position of need - for a long time. I think they did a great job not going for the flash player. Yes, they needed a OG too. But they only get 1 first round pick and I think they used it wisely. Come back in 3 years and let's talk about this draft. At this point no one has a clue how any of these guys will perform.
