Well see, this is why I said that you seem to be making assumptions. All of this second part of your post is assumption. Some people think the world is flat too. Some people think the Moon landings are a hoax, some believe other things but that doesn't represent the majority. However, I will admit that I am skeptical he gets 40 and I would not be surprised to see him sit games. I would not be surprised to see Dalton perform well behind this OL, with these weapons. I don't see the Cowboys allowing him to just walk away but I would not be shocked to see them trade Prescott is they believed they could get a nice trade worked out. Again, if the Cowboys could position themselves to trade up to the top of the draft next year, the prize is Trevor Lawrence. That's significant. So yeah, in a nut shell, I can see a lot of different things happening but my guess is that the Cowboys don't move off their existing offer. I think that whatever happens is going to be a result of what Dak decides to do because I don't believe he's getting more then what's on the table now.
Market value goes up but that doesn't mean you must pay any given player top money. That's written anywhere. Mahomes, he will get it. Dak, he won't IMO. Still in all, the offer he's reportedly received is a good one and it's more then fair. I think he'd be foolish not to take it but if he doesn't, I think you see the team move on with Dalton and if he does well, then I would not be surprised to see Prescott receive an offer that isn't even as good as what's on the table now. If he doesn't, then I think the team probably explores the idea of redesignating him in 2021 and see if a trade can be made or going back to the table. The way I see it, the team really doesn't have anything to lose. If they just stand pat this year and ride the tag, they save money. If they force CAA and Dak to come to the table, they save a lot of money and gain a lot of very important cap leverage. If they move on with a Trevor, they get a more talented young QB under a rookie deal for 5 years and have an even brighter future for the core of this team. If they have to raise the offer and accept the shorter term contract then they have the option to just do 3 years, which is really what Dak wants anyway and that provides enough time for the Cowboys to find a replacement. That option would be expensive and I doubt anybody in the organization would like that much but at that point, I think Jerry is no longer running the team and then this is a negotiation with Stephen and I don't ever see Stephen agreeing to be held over a barrel by Dak or CAA. He will move on, IMO.
So that's kinda how I see it but the whole Apples to Apples thing, not so much.