Dak Prescott - QB -
Cowboys
Dak Prescott said he doesn't think the Cowboys need a No. 1 receiver.
"I don’t know if any team in the league necessarily needs a No. 1 receiver," said Prescott. "It’s about getting the ball out, spreading the ball around, keeping the defense on its toes." Prescott never quite clicked with Dez Bryant, which could have been a factor in the team cutting him this offseason. Now Prescott is left with a paper-thin receiving corps featuring free agent signing Allen Hurns, Terrance Williams, slot receiver Cole Beasley and third-round rookie Michael Gallup. Dak is going as a mid-range QB2 in early mock drafts.
Source: ProFootballTalk on NBC Sports
May 25 - 4:30 PM
Analyzing the Cowboys' receivers - will they be better in 2018?
What can we expect in 2018?
I've put in some data for the additions to the roster. Allen Hurns in 2017 missed a few games, which kept his DYAR down, but he ranked 9th in the NFL in DVOA. I've also included his best year - 2015 - to give an idea of what his ceiling might be. It's the best year in terms of production, but his DVOA was slightly below last year. Hurns played a lot out of the slot, so one wonders if this will translate if he's put into a more traditional outside receiving role.
Deonte Thompson seems to have been signed to replace Brice Butler's role as a deep threat. He received a lot more targets in this role for Buffalo and Chicago last year, but he wasn't close to Butler's 2017 efficiency.
Tavon Austin, meanwhile, demonstrated for the Rams that he was quite horrible as a receiver both of the last two years. So it's not hard to see why the Rams would trade him. One would hope he's not used much in a standard receiving role, but rather as a jet sweep guy and someone who can receive runs and swing passes out of the backfield.
The other additions are the two drafted rookies - Michael Gallup and Cedrick Wilson. Gallup was super productive the last two years, can run all the routes, and can likely line up anywhere. Wilson looks to be more of an understudy to Thompson on deep routes. Noah Brown was next to worthless as a receiver in 2017. Can he make a leap forward this year? He's likely going to need to to make the roster.
Rookie wide receivers don't always emerge, but they can.
At tight end, things are even more uncertain, as no one knows what the Cowboys have in Rico Gathers, Blake Jarwin, or Dalton Schultz. They only need to achieve league average to replicate Jason Witten's receiving numbers, but can they even do that?
Conclusion
It's anyone's guess, really, as to whether this group of receivers will be better. A lot of us are excited because there is at least the possibility of improvement. It's unlikely things will be as staid as they have been, with Dez, Williams, Beasley, and Witten always in the same roles. With this new group, anyone can line up in the slot, and all but Beasley and Austin can take any of the outside receiving roles.
My feeling is that, with new receivers coach Sanjay Lal's help, this group will be more reliable targets for Dak, and less predictable for defenses to take away. Cole Beasley, off his 2017 performance, is going to have to prove he can get open again. It's possible he'll be supplanted in the slot much more often by the much taller Allen Hurns, with Williams and Gallup on the outside. Rico Gathers could also give Dak a big target and one who can stretch the field, and it's possible both Dalton Schultz and Blake Jarwin will have more juice down the field than Jason Witten has had for years.
But the key to it all may be the offensive line and the threat Ezekiel Elliott poses to defenses. Once the pass protection evaporated last year, the passing game went with it. Keep Dak protected, give him run-pass options, keep defenses guessing, and the offense might hit a high gear again.
Through all of this I haven't really said anything about Dak Prescott. Many blame him for the passing game woes, saying that his accuracy was off last year. My take is that Dak didn't change as much as the players around him. For example, was Cole Beasley open like he was in 2016 and Dak just missed him? I don't think that's true at all. Was Dez Bryant just as open in 2017, and did he catch all of the balls that Dak put on his hands? Was Terrance Williams open as much as he was in 2016? I don't think so. Did the offensive line give him as much protection? Definitely not. Was Zeke always there to threaten defenses? No. That's not to say that Dak was blameless. But it seems like other factors played a bigger role.
Improvement is by no means a certainty, but it would be hard to do worse than 2017. The question is, can the Cowboys be as good or better than they were in 2016?
https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/201...cowboys-receivers-will-they-be-better-in-2018