The best historical franchise winning percentage belongs to the Cowboys at 57.3. The Worsr is the Panthers at 49.0. That means the difference between the best and worst is 8.3% or approximately an average of 1.3 games a season.
Translation:
It is always difficult to win an NFL game.
A missing Pro Bowl RB can make an impact....if you let it. However, a good team is exactly that, it is a team, A group of players who attempts to win games through a combined effort.
When a team is built properly, injuries and other types of player absence is not as impactful because there is someone behind him that has been properly coached and prepared to contribute. Obviously, they will not contribute the same level of productivity so it is the responsibility of the rest of the team to absorb the additional workload.
How many teams draft a RB in the first round while retaining one that had a thousand yards the previous season? Folks seem to forget that McFadden was a thousand yard rusher in 2014. Assuming he stays healthy, as we always assume Elliot would be, McFadden will be a force behind this offensive line.
As for Dak, here is my prediction and reasoning:
Last season Dak passed every single test for a possible franchise quarterback. He started and made significant plays, he led the team to come from behind victories, he kept mistakes to an absolute minimum, he played well against dominant defenses, and his team straight out won.
Not only did Dak accomplish this, he set records while doing it. Dak was so good that he went from being treated as a rookie to being evaluated as a veteran within a few week of the season's start.
Again, as good as Zeke was, it often took big plays in the passing game to win. This would include QB scrambles for TD's. I'm talking about plays in which Zeke's presence on the field was only significant in pass protection. Dak made those plays. I'm still talking about a rookie quarterback. The expectation for a rookie starting QB is that he won't lose the game with mistakes, he will find a way to get the ball to a playmaker.
However, Dak Precott is a playmaker in his own right. No matter the RB or the rest of the offense, there has been only three times since 1970 where a QB had a season with a lower INT percentage. Two of them were by Brady in his 30's.
There has been only one time in NFL history that a quarterback with a higher QB rating scored as many rushing TD's and that was Steve Young in the 1994 season, the year the 49ers won the Super Bowl.
Dak's performance in 2016 was comparable to Hall of Famers, not in their rookie years but at the peak of their careers. Now, Ezekiel Elliott is certainly a great RBI and the line is absolutely elite, but no offense in history is capable of transforming a rookie 4th round draft pick into an record setting NFL quarterback.
And now my prediction:
Dak will continue the same level of play with or without Zeke. There is no need to worry if Dak can weather the storm. Dak is the storm.