He can fall out of the 1st round. If teams were smart. Smith is #2 WR at best in the NFL. Guys like Collins,Chase,Marshall,and Terry will be the guys that should pass him
Man, it seems to me that you put
wayyy to much emphasis on a players measurables and not nearly enough on their actual ability to play football.
Smith is a very good WR who I feel pretty sure will be drafted in round 1. And he is so good and will be drafted early in large part because of what goes on between his ears.
There is a list a mile long of NFL players who didn’t run really fast and didn’t have quite enough size, and yet they were pro bowl and hall of fame players.
I’m not arguing with you but I’m telling you that the ability to play the game at a high level is
the most important thing a prospect can have. Being tall and running fast is great but a lot of those guys just aren’t great players.
It seems somewhat misguided to take a guy like Smith who was absolutely fantastic playing football at the highest level of college football and say he will fail, while at the same time saying a guy that didn’t do a whole lot in college will come in to the NFL and be better than Smith just because he’s heavier and ran faster.
Not only is it counterintuitive, but there are hundreds of examples of things not playing out that way. Most of the time, guys who are great in college are good in the NFL. Not always, I know... but most of the time. Particularly when they succeeded in the SEC.
At the same time, when a guy just can’t play very well in college, he usually doesn’t become great in the NFL, regardless of physical talent. Again, there are exceptions, but they’re not often.
I’m just saying that you focus on physical talent and traits over their mental ability. Their smarts, willpower, work ethic, etc when those absolutely matter.
I mean go back over the years and look how some of your unconventional mock drafts fell. You were way off on some of those things.
I’m just saying that I view talent evaluation a lot differently than you do. I guess I’m saying that I think Smith will go round 1 and I also feel like he’ll have a good career as well.