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I don't think we lose two games to Washington either. Even if we split, that gives you some decent leeway elsewhere. If you lose both, you are pretty much cooked IMO.
Frankly, I think it's more likely we split with Philly and sweep Washington.
Or get swept by PHI. I agree.
With a gun to my head, I think we beat WAS here, beat PHI in the first game, but lose the division late in the year and perhaps limp into that PHI game two in week 17 with them having the East sewn up and us needing a win to get at possible WC berth. Yuck.