Division winner scenarios thread

DuceizBak

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Cowboys need Philly to lose one more and win out themselves.
That is true unless the game the Eagles lose happens to be the Giants game. At 12-5 the Cowboys would win the division (if the Cowboys happen to beat WAS and one out of DET and MIA.

If the Eagles lose either game to the Giants, we have a cushion. I think it's likely the Eagles lose 2 more games though.
 

Miller

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Eagles D just blows. That much time left and anyone gets past you? Hubris. Love it
 

boysfanperiod

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If two teams are tied in the division standings, the first tiebreaker is their head-to-head record against each other. From there, if the tied teams have an identical head-to-head record, the next tiebreaker is their divisional record. Following that, the next tiebreaker is their record against common opponents, then conference record
Thank you for the simplified explanation.
 

JoeKing

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We have to win out and look for help from the Giants or Cardinals to beat Philly
 

mldardy

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I feel like this is going to come down to Week 18. I think the Eagles win the next 2 and we either do too or go 1-1.
 

Tabascocat

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Dallas wins the NFCE if both teams win out.


The 3rd tie breaker is common opponents. Dallas beat both the Jets and Seattle.
  1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
  2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
  3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
  4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
  5. Strength of victory in all games.
  6. Strength of schedule in all games
  7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed in all games.
  8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed in all games.
  9. Best net points in common games.
  10. Best net points in all games.
  11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
  12. Coin toss
Not true, that would mean Philly wins the strength of victory tiebreaker.
 

loublue22

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"strength of victory" is a biased stat and an asinine tiebreaker in an unbalanced schedule, we always get the short end of the stick on that crap
 

goshan

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Just confirmed this on ESPN Playoff machine.
1. We both win out. Eagles win the division.
2. If Eagles lose 1 more, we don't have to win out to win the division. We just have to beat Washington and either Detroit OR Miami.

Winning out doesn't matter for us at all. It does for the Eagles.
 

aikemirv

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Philly still wins due to Strength of Victory.

Assuming each teams wins out, Philly's teams that they beat have won more games
TB has 7 wins to CARs 2 (PHI +5)
KC has 9 wins to SDs 5 (PHI +4)
BUF has 8 wins to NYJs 5 (PHI +3)
SEA has 7 wins to ARZs 3 (DAL +4)
DET has 10 wins to MINs 7 (DAL +3)

Looks like a +5 for Philly...might be missing a game, but with all the common opponents and parity, there won't be a change this late in the season
Miami and Detroit would have to help us there if we beat both
 

TheFinisher

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If we both win out it will come down to Strength of Victory.

Basically, root against Chiefs/Bills/Vikings/Cardinals/Bucs

Root for Jets/Seahawks/Lions/Chargers/Panthers
 

Risen Star

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If the Eagles win out (vs. Giants, vs. Cardinals, at Giants) and the Cowboys win out (at Dolphins, vs. Lions, at Commanders), both teams finish 13-4. They remain deadlocked after first four tiebreakers: head-to-head record, division record, common-game record and conference record.

Eagles would then likely own tiebreaker for strength of victory, although it's not mathematically impossible today for the Cowboys to overtake them.

Realistically, Dallas must overcome a tougher rest-of-season schedule to make up a game in the final three weeks in order to win the NFC East.
 
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