Division winner scenarios thread

[Silverz1972]

Cross out common wins, it comes down to 5 teams

Philly teams the beat…
Vikings
Bucs
Chiefs
Buffalo
Arizona

Dallas teams they beat
Jets
Panthers
Chargers
Seahawks
Lions

Currently the five teams that philly has beat are 5 games ahead of the five teams that dallas has beaten.

We have to hope the teams we beat keep winning and trams philly beat keeps losing.

 

[rambo2]

That doesn't sound promising.

Except the Eagles can lose to any team.

 

[TheFinisher]

That doesn't sound promising.

Phi: 34 wins SOV
Dal: 29 wins SOV

The Herbert injury sucks, chargers have nosedived

 

[mldardy]

So what's the SoV calculation up to this point in the season?

Dallas is at .379 and Philly is at .493

 

[goshan]

Right now

Phi: 34 wins
Dal: 29 wins

We’re 5 games back in SOV

In the National Football League (NFL), the strength of schedule (SOS) is the combined record of all teams in a schedule, and the strength of victory (SOV) is the combined record of all teams that were beaten in that schedule.
....

The 10 opponents we have beaten only have 29 wins?

 

[Diehardblues]

Egirls still own tiebreaker. Strength of victories .

 

[Pessimist_cowboy]

If the cardinals beat the Eagles we can now lose to either Miami or Detroit and win the division now. If we both finish 12-5

 

[loublue22]

Phi: 34 wins SOV
Dal: 29 wins SOV

The Herbert injury sucks, chargers have nosedived

5 wins is the difference between the Bucs and Panthers, so Eagles win division essentially because they got the 1st place schedule and Bryce Young is terrible.

 

[WillieBeamen]

If we dont win the division, theres still this likely scenario…




They are last years Vikings. One and done

 

[mldardy]

I think it's coming down to the last week. I'll be very surprised if the Eagles lose to the Giants or Cards at home although I'm not ruling it out. Eagles on the road at the Giants Week 18 is going to be interesting.

 

[Diehardblues]

I’d say it’s more likely we will lose another one than them.

Good news is Egirls appear vulnerable . I could see a 6 or 7 seed knocking them off .

 

[viman96]

In the National Football League (NFL), the strength of schedule (SOS) is the combined record of all teams in a schedule, and the strength of victory (SOV) is the combined record of all teams that were beaten in that schedule.
....

The 10 opponents we have beaten only have 29 wins?

Both Miami and Detroit are 10-4. Would this not close the gap?

 

[Jayinem]

If both win out Philly will likely win on strength of victory. Not 100% sure but likely. The reason is head to head, division, common opponents and conference would all tie.

From there, there's like a ton of possibilities on tiebreakers. First would be division record so we need Giants to beat Philly once and we need to lose one game out of Miami or Detroit. If Giants beat Philly twice and they beat Arizona we actually only have to win one more game doesn't matter which one. As long as we beat Washington worse we can do is tie the division record. In the unlikely scenario we both lose out we then win the tiebreaker due to better division record.

Common opponents would be next. We are currently ahead by one game because they lost to Seahawks and Jets we beat both teams, but we lost to Buffalo in which they beat and they beat Miami and still play Arizona a team in which we lost also. So a Miami loss could cost us the division if they beat Arizona.

If they ends up a tie next would be Conference record we are currently 7-3 they are 6-3 but they have 3 more Conference games we only have two. Since division record games come first (which are two of their last 3 games) that would have to tie and common opponents would have to tie so most likely they would have to lose to Arizona for that to be a factor.

Basically there's a ton of scenarios left to decide the division.

 

[boysfanperiod]

Why does it have to be so complicated? I would rather them play again and whoever wins, wins the division.

 

[TheFinisher]

In the National Football League (NFL), the strength of schedule (SOS) is the combined record of all teams in a schedule, and the strength of victory (SOV) is the combined record of all teams that were beaten in that schedule.
....

The 10 opponents we have beaten only have 29 wins?

No, these are the non-common opponents both teams have wins against

The common wins obviously cancel themselves out

 

[mldardy]

Both Miami and Detroit are 10-4. Would this not close the gap?

It would but it wouldn't be enough especially being that the Eagles played the Dolphins too.

 

[Diehardblues]

Both Miami and Detroit are 10-4. Would this not close the gap?

It could .It also would help us if KC lost out.

 

[Pessimist_cowboy]

It would but it wouldn't be enough especially being that the Eagles played the Dolphins too.

If the Eagles lose to Arizona and Dallas goes 2-1 while beating Washington the Cowboys win the division.

 

[loublue22]

Both Miami and Detroit are 10-4. Would this not close the gap?

Miami doesn't matter, common opponent. Detroit helps but not likely enough to overcome how many more wins KC will have than LAC and Tampa over Carolina.

 

[rambo2]

Oh it matters. Dallas can't afford another loss. They already need help as it is.

I think Dallas could lose to Miami and still win the division if the Eagles lose a game and Dallas beats Detroit and Washington. Dallas would be the 2.