Playing a lot of this personnel isn’t in and of itself a problem, as evidenced by the fact that Dallas fielded a top-five defense in terms of points allowed in the regular season. But what this did do was give opponents who had the right personnel a starting point to build their offensive game plan. Green Bay is one of those teams with the right personnel. The Packers started two tight ends, rookies Tucker Kraft and Luke Musgrave, who are uber-athletic players and stand almost a combined 13 feet tall. Athleticism isn’t easy to measure, but according to at least one method (the
Relative Athletic Score), both are in the 96th percentile of all draft-eligible tight ends since 2000. Green Bay took advantage of these rookies along with the Cowboys’ tendency to trot out five defensive backs and came out in 12 personnel (one running back, two tight ends) at a higher rate than it had all season to open the game. And then Green Bay went on a 12-play, 75-yard touchdown drive that burned more than half of the first-quarter clock.
Over the course of the game, the Packers stayed in 12 personnel for 47 percent of their plays. The end result was that at various points in the game, Dallas was stuck matching at least one cornerback (none of whom are within 5 inches of Musgrave or Kraft) on one of these tight ends, who combined to catch five passes for 67 yards and a touchdown. It also meant these defensive backs had to carry the load against a run game that was trotting out two tight ends to help with the run blocking. It was a similar game plan to what we saw in Week 15, when Bills running backs averaged 6.3 yards per carry and ran 12 personnel 33 percent of the time.
It’s not a great look for Quinn, a hot name as a potential head coaching candidate for 2024. But at the same time, he didn’t really have many options. Damone Clark was the only healthy linebacker on the roster. Safety Markquese Bell became the number two linebacker as the season went on, playing 90 percent of his snaps in the box or along the defensive line. Parsons is technically an option to drop into coverage, but he’s also the most explosive pass rusher in the NFL—not the type of guy you want doing anything else. Perhaps this problem was less on Quinn and more on
the guys building the roster.